**Strong trader consensus for no change at the Bank of Canada’s October 28, 2026, policy meeting reflects the central bank’s established hold stance amid contained inflation and a gradually improving but still sub-capacity economy.** The overnight rate has remained at 2.25% since the July 15 decision—the sixth consecutive pause—following earlier easing that brought it down from higher levels in 2025. June CPI cooled to 2.8% year-over-year, below expectations, with the Bank projecting a return toward its 2% target by early 2027 as energy-price pressures ease. Forward curves and analyst surveys price limited tightening risk this year, with any upward adjustments more likely in 2027. The next key data point is the July CPI release on August 17, which could influence September and October expectations if it confirms the disinflation trend. Geopolitical factors and U.S. trade uncertainty add caution but have not shifted the baseline outlook for stability through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNessuna modifica 89.4%
Aumento di 25 punti base 8.6%
Riduzione di 25 punti base 3.1%
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base <1%
$38,127 Vol.
$38,127 Vol.
28 ott 2026
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base
<1%
Aumento di 25 punti base
9%
Nessuna modifica
89%
Riduzione di 25 punti base
3%
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base
<1%
Nessuna modifica 89.4%
Aumento di 25 punti base 8.6%
Riduzione di 25 punti base 3.1%
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base <1%
$38,127 Vol.
$38,127 Vol.
28 ott 2026
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base
$3,339 Vol.
<1%
Aumento di 25 punti base
$8,441 Vol.
9%
Nessuna modifica
$16,523 Vol.
89%
Riduzione di 25 punti base
$6,263 Vol.
3%
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base
$3,561 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.**Strong trader consensus for no change at the Bank of Canada’s October 28, 2026, policy meeting reflects the central bank’s established hold stance amid contained inflation and a gradually improving but still sub-capacity economy.** The overnight rate has remained at 2.25% since the July 15 decision—the sixth consecutive pause—following earlier easing that brought it down from higher levels in 2025. June CPI cooled to 2.8% year-over-year, below expectations, with the Bank projecting a return toward its 2% target by early 2027 as energy-price pressures ease. Forward curves and analyst surveys price limited tightening risk this year, with any upward adjustments more likely in 2027. The next key data point is the July CPI release on August 17, which could influence September and October expectations if it confirms the disinflation trend. Geopolitical factors and U.S. trade uncertainty add caution but have not shifted the baseline outlook for stability through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 15, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
Volume
$38,127Data di fine
28 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 15, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.**Strong trader consensus for no change at the Bank of Canada’s October 28, 2026, policy meeting reflects the central bank’s established hold stance amid contained inflation and a gradually improving but still sub-capacity economy.** The overnight rate has remained at 2.25% since the July 15 decision—the sixth consecutive pause—following earlier easing that brought it down from higher levels in 2025. June CPI cooled to 2.8% year-over-year, below expectations, with the Bank projecting a return toward its 2% target by early 2027 as energy-price pressures ease. Forward curves and analyst surveys price limited tightening risk this year, with any upward adjustments more likely in 2027. The next key data point is the July CPI release on August 17, which could influence September and October expectations if it confirms the disinflation trend. Geopolitical factors and U.S. trade uncertainty add caution but have not shifted the baseline outlook for stability through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
Volume
$38,127Data di fine
28 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 15, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong trader consensus for no change at the Bank of Canada’s October 28, 2026, policy meeting reflects the central bank’s established hold stance amid contained inflation and a gradually improving but still sub-capacity economy.** The overnight rate has remained at 2.25% since the July 15 decision—the sixth consecutive pause—following earlier easing that brought it down from higher levels in 2025. June CPI cooled to 2.8% year-over-year, below expectations, with the Bank projecting a return toward its 2% target by early 2027 as energy-price pressures ease. Forward curves and analyst surveys price limited tightening risk this year, with any upward adjustments more likely in 2027. The next key data point is the July CPI release on August 17, which could influence September and October expectations if it confirms the disinflation trend. Geopolitical factors and U.S. trade uncertainty add caution but have not shifted the baseline outlook for stability through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
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100%
Nessuna variazione nei tassi di interesse della Banca del Messico dopo la riunione di settembre 2026?
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Sì
Nessuna variazione nei tassi d'interesse della Banca del Messico dopo la riunione di novembre 2026?
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