Costa Rica leads trader consensus at 33.8% implied probability for the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup title, narrowly ahead of Mexico at 31.5% and Guatemala at 25.4%, with several other nations clustered in the teens. This tight distribution stems from Mexico’s status as reigning champion after its 2025 final win over the United States, balanced against Costa Rica’s strong recent Nations League and World Cup qualifying results plus Guatemala’s improved depth. The confirmed qualification pathway—direct berths via the Concacaf Nations League, seven preliminary playoff winners, and Saudi Arabia’s return as guest—creates multiple viable paths that reward current form and ranking momentum over historical dominance alone. Traders appear to price in the region’s competitive balance ahead of the March 2027 prelims and the main tournament.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPanama 35%
Nicaragua 34%
Curacao 19%
Suriname 18%
Panama
35%
Nicaragua
34%
Curacao
19%
Suriname
18%
United States
18%
Canada
18%
Costa Rica
13%
Dominican Republic
12%
Jamaica
8%
Honduras
8%
Martinique
5%
Guatemala
4%
Haiti
4%
Trinidad and Tobago
4%
El Salvador
4%
Mexico
31%
Saudi Arabia
-
Panama 35%
Nicaragua 34%
Curacao 19%
Suriname 18%
Panama
35%
Nicaragua
34%
Curacao
19%
Suriname
18%
United States
18%
Canada
18%
Costa Rica
13%
Dominican Republic
12%
Jamaica
8%
Honduras
8%
Martinique
5%
Guatemala
4%
Haiti
4%
Trinidad and Tobago
4%
El Salvador
4%
Mexico
31%
Saudi Arabia
-
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup per the rules of CONCACAF (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from CONCACAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup per the rules of CONCACAF (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from CONCACAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Costa Rica leads trader consensus at 33.8% implied probability for the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup title, narrowly ahead of Mexico at 31.5% and Guatemala at 25.4%, with several other nations clustered in the teens. This tight distribution stems from Mexico’s status as reigning champion after its 2025 final win over the United States, balanced against Costa Rica’s strong recent Nations League and World Cup qualifying results plus Guatemala’s improved depth. The confirmed qualification pathway—direct berths via the Concacaf Nations League, seven preliminary playoff winners, and Saudi Arabia’s return as guest—creates multiple viable paths that reward current form and ranking momentum over historical dominance alone. Traders appear to price in the region’s competitive balance ahead of the March 2027 prelims and the main tournament.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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