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icon for Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?

Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?

icon for Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?

Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?

$10,486 Vol.

30 giu 2026
Polymarket

$10,486 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for June 30

June 30

$2,309 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Evo Morales remains in Bolivia’s Chapare region under active arrest warrants tied to statutory rape charges and court non-appearance, with a judicial order barring him from departing the country. His supporters have sustained roadblocks and clashes with security forces amid broader protests against President Rodrigo Paz’s economic measures, elevating his visibility as an opposition figure without triggering confirmed exit. Paz’s administration has signaled intent to enforce legal accountability while navigating political instability and calls for dialogue. Trader positioning on near-term departure dates reflects these enforcement barriers, Morales’ public vows to stay, and the absence of verified movement despite heightened tensions. Resolution hinges on any verified border crossing or asylum grant before specified cutoffs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”.

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,486
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Evo Morales remains in Bolivia’s Chapare region under active arrest warrants tied to statutory rape charges and court non-appearance, with a judicial order barring him from departing the country. His supporters have sustained roadblocks and clashes with security forces amid broader protests against President Rodrigo Paz’s economic measures, elevating his visibility as an opposition figure without triggering confirmed exit. Paz’s administration has signaled intent to enforce legal accountability while navigating political instability and calls for dialogue. Trader positioning on near-term departure dates reflects these enforcement barriers, Morales’ public vows to stay, and the absence of verified movement despite heightened tensions. Resolution hinges on any verified border crossing or asylum grant before specified cutoffs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”.

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,486
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Evo Morales has left Bolivia for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In cases where Evo Morales may have exited Bolivian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Bolivia for this market to resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian territory by land into another country, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If Evo Morales exits Bolivian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to “Yes”. If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Evo Morales left Bolivia, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Domande frequenti

"Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "June 30" a 17%, seguito da "May 31" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 17¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 17% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?" ha generato $10.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 21, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?" è "June 30" a 17%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 17% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "May 31" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.