Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 262 points to Ferrari's 190 and McLaren's 141, reflecting a substantial mid-season advantage that underpins the 84% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have excelled under the new regulations through superior power unit optimization and energy management, allowing Kimi Antonelli and George Russell to deliver consistent podiums and wins while customer teams lag in deployment efficiency. Ferrari has narrowed the gap via recent upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's Barcelona victory, yet trails meaningfully. McLaren and Red Bull remain competitive in isolated races but lack the sustained pace or reliability to challenge the leaders over remaining grands prix, with lower probabilities aligning with current form and points gaps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMercedes 85%
Ferrari 10.4%
McLaren 2.1%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$25,857,460 Vol.
$25,857,460 Vol.
6 dic 2026
Mercedes
85%
Ferrari
10%
McLaren
2%
Red Bull Racing
1%
Williams
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Audi
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Haas
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 85%
Ferrari 10.4%
McLaren 2.1%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$25,857,460 Vol.
$25,857,460 Vol.
6 dic 2026
Mercedes
$835,576 Vol.
85%
Ferrari
$541,893 Vol.
10%
McLaren
$1,617,932 Vol.
2%
Red Bull Racing
$706,468 Vol.
1%
Williams
$3,580,907 Vol.
<1%
Aston Martin
$2,926,662 Vol.
<1%
Audi
$2,970,058 Vol.
<1%
Cadillac
$3,502,022 Vol.
<1%
Racing Bulls
$2,953,923 Vol.
<1%
Haas
$3,082,470 Vol.
<1%
Alpine
$3,139,549 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 262 points to Ferrari's 190 and McLaren's 141, reflecting a substantial mid-season advantage that underpins the 84% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have excelled under the new regulations through superior power unit optimization and energy management, allowing Kimi Antonelli and George Russell to deliver consistent podiums and wins while customer teams lag in deployment efficiency. Ferrari has narrowed the gap via recent upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's Barcelona victory, yet trails meaningfully. McLaren and Red Bull remain competitive in isolated races but lack the sustained pace or reliability to challenge the leaders over remaining grands prix, with lower probabilities aligning with current form and points gaps.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercato aperto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$25,857,460Data di fine
6 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 262 points to Ferrari's 190 and McLaren's 141, reflecting a substantial mid-season advantage that underpins the 84% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have excelled under the new regulations through superior power unit optimization and energy management, allowing Kimi Antonelli and George Russell to deliver consistent podiums and wins while customer teams lag in deployment efficiency. Ferrari has narrowed the gap via recent upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's Barcelona victory, yet trails meaningfully. McLaren and Red Bull remain competitive in isolated races but lack the sustained pace or reliability to challenge the leaders over remaining grands prix, with lower probabilities aligning with current form and points gaps.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Volume
$25,857,460Data di fine
6 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 262 points to Ferrari's 190 and McLaren's 141, reflecting a substantial mid-season advantage that underpins the 84% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have excelled under the new regulations through superior power unit optimization and energy management, allowing Kimi Antonelli and George Russell to deliver consistent podiums and wins while customer teams lag in deployment efficiency. Ferrari has narrowed the gap via recent upgrades and Lewis Hamilton's Barcelona victory, yet trails meaningfully. McLaren and Red Bull remain competitive in isolated races but lack the sustained pace or reliability to challenge the leaders over remaining grands prix, with lower probabilities aligning with current form and points gaps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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