Traders see a 94% probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by stable macroeconomic conditions and the central bank's measured monetary policy stance. Recent inflation metrics have aligned near the 2% target while labor market data show contained unemployment without sharp deterioration, reducing the need for urgent easing beyond the Fed's baseline path. Treasury yields and forward guidance reflect gradual adjustments rather than crisis response, with no acute shocks in banking or credit markets. Still, an abrupt recession signal, major geopolitical disruption, or sudden financial instability could shift expectations, though current indicators point to resilience through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
6% probabilità
$137,727 Vol.
$137,727 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
6% probabilità
$137,727 Vol.
$137,727 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders see a 94% probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by stable macroeconomic conditions and the central bank's measured monetary policy stance. Recent inflation metrics have aligned near the 2% target while labor market data show contained unemployment without sharp deterioration, reducing the need for urgent easing beyond the Fed's baseline path. Treasury yields and forward guidance reflect gradual adjustments rather than crisis response, with no acute shocks in banking or credit markets. Still, an abrupt recession signal, major geopolitical disruption, or sudden financial instability could shift expectations, though current indicators point to resilience through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$137,727Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders see a 94% probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by stable macroeconomic conditions and the central bank's measured monetary policy stance. Recent inflation metrics have aligned near the 2% target while labor market data show contained unemployment without sharp deterioration, reducing the need for urgent easing beyond the Fed's baseline path. Treasury yields and forward guidance reflect gradual adjustments rather than crisis response, with no acute shocks in banking or credit markets. Still, an abrupt recession signal, major geopolitical disruption, or sudden financial instability could shift expectations, though current indicators point to resilience through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$137,727Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders see a 94% probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, driven by stable macroeconomic conditions and the central bank's measured monetary policy stance. Recent inflation metrics have aligned near the 2% target while labor market data show contained unemployment without sharp deterioration, reducing the need for urgent easing beyond the Fed's baseline path. Treasury yields and forward guidance reflect gradual adjustments rather than crisis response, with no acute shocks in banking or credit markets. Still, an abrupt recession signal, major geopolitical disruption, or sudden financial instability could shift expectations, though current indicators point to resilience through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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