Traders assign a 92.5% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting the central bank's current 3.5-3.75% target range and a resilient U.S. economy. Persistent inflation near 3.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, solid GDP expansion, and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1% in July data have supported a policy stance favoring holds or potential hikes over aggressive easing. Recent FOMC communications and dissents in favor of tightening underscore the committee's focus on returning inflation to the 2% mandate without crisis-driven intervention. Market-implied odds align with this data-driven path, though a major financial shock or sharp labor market deterioration could still prompt an unscheduled move.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
8% probabilità
$135,558 Vol.
$135,558 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
8% probabilità
$135,558 Vol.
$135,558 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign a 92.5% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting the central bank's current 3.5-3.75% target range and a resilient U.S. economy. Persistent inflation near 3.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, solid GDP expansion, and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1% in July data have supported a policy stance favoring holds or potential hikes over aggressive easing. Recent FOMC communications and dissents in favor of tightening underscore the committee's focus on returning inflation to the 2% mandate without crisis-driven intervention. Market-implied odds align with this data-driven path, though a major financial shock or sharp labor market deterioration could still prompt an unscheduled move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$135,558Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign a 92.5% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting the central bank's current 3.5-3.75% target range and a resilient U.S. economy. Persistent inflation near 3.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, solid GDP expansion, and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1% in July data have supported a policy stance favoring holds or potential hikes over aggressive easing. Recent FOMC communications and dissents in favor of tightening underscore the committee's focus on returning inflation to the 2% mandate without crisis-driven intervention. Market-implied odds align with this data-driven path, though a major financial shock or sharp labor market deterioration could still prompt an unscheduled move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$135,558Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 92.5% implied probability to no Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting the central bank's current 3.5-3.75% target range and a resilient U.S. economy. Persistent inflation near 3.5% year-over-year through mid-2026, solid GDP expansion, and an unemployment rate holding at 4.1% in July data have supported a policy stance favoring holds or potential hikes over aggressive easing. Recent FOMC communications and dissents in favor of tightening underscore the committee's focus on returning inflation to the 2% mandate without crisis-driven intervention. Market-implied odds align with this data-driven path, though a major financial shock or sharp labor market deterioration could still prompt an unscheduled move.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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