Polymarket traders assign an 87% implied probability to "No" on a Federal Reserve emergency inter-meeting rate cut before 2027, driven by resilient labor market data and reaccelerating inflation that negate crisis conditions. April 2026 nonfarm payrolls rose 115,000—above modest expectations—holding the unemployment rate steady at 4.3%, while CPI surged to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3%, with core at 2.8%, prompting the FOMC's April 28-29 decision to maintain the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75%. This skin-in-the-game consensus anticipates no acute shocks warranting unscheduled action, eyeing May jobs report and June FOMC for measured policy evolution amid sticky prices.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$103,984 Vol.
$103,984 Vol.
Sì
$103,984 Vol.
$103,984 Vol.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign an 87% implied probability to "No" on a Federal Reserve emergency inter-meeting rate cut before 2027, driven by resilient labor market data and reaccelerating inflation that negate crisis conditions. April 2026 nonfarm payrolls rose 115,000—above modest expectations—holding the unemployment rate steady at 4.3%, while CPI surged to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3%, with core at 2.8%, prompting the FOMC's April 28-29 decision to maintain the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75%. This skin-in-the-game consensus anticipates no acute shocks warranting unscheduled action, eyeing May jobs report and June FOMC for measured policy evolution amid sticky prices.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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