Strong Q1 2026 earnings, with 89 percent of S&P 500 companies beating estimates by an average of 18 percent, combined with accelerating AI-driven gains in semiconductors and mega-cap tech, have propelled the index to fresh record closes above 7,400 during the week of May 11. The rally extended a multi-week streak despite elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions and the Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as the incoming Fed chair. Market-implied odds reflect broad optimism around resilient economic data and profit-margin expansion to 13.4 percent, though traders continue to monitor any escalation in geopolitical risks or shifts in Treasury yields that could cap further upside.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhat will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of May 11 2026?
$204,471 Vol.
↑ $770
No
↑ $765
No
↑ $760
No
↑ $755
No
↑ $750
No
↑ $745
Yes
↑ $740
Yes
↓ $735
Yes
↓ $730
No
↓ $725
No
↓ $720
No
↓ $715
No
↓ $710
No
↓ $705
No
$204,471 Vol.
↑ $770
No
↑ $765
No
↑ $760
No
↑ $755
No
↑ $750
No
↑ $745
Yes
↑ $740
Yes
↓ $735
Yes
↓ $730
No
↓ $725
No
↓ $720
No
↓ $715
No
↓ $710
No
↓ $705
No
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Mercato aperto: May 9, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Strong Q1 2026 earnings, with 89 percent of S&P 500 companies beating estimates by an average of 18 percent, combined with accelerating AI-driven gains in semiconductors and mega-cap tech, have propelled the index to fresh record closes above 7,400 during the week of May 11. The rally extended a multi-week streak despite elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions and the Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as the incoming Fed chair. Market-implied odds reflect broad optimism around resilient economic data and profit-margin expansion to 13.4 percent, though traders continue to monitor any escalation in geopolitical risks or shifts in Treasury yields that could cap further upside.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti