Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 79.5% implied probability for a SpaceX IPO in June, driven by yesterday's CNBC report that the company could release its public prospectus as early as next week following its April 1 confidential SEC filing, with a roadshow targeted for the week of June 8. This timeline aligns with earlier Reuters disclosures of early June investor pitches and a potential late-June listing at a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation, bolstered by a $20 billion loan secured last month to support Starlink expansion. July at 9.2% reflects minor slippage risk amid regulatory review, while longer-dated outcomes trade at low single digits amid firm momentum and no reported delays. Key watch: S-1 filing details and underwriter allocations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGiugno 82%
Luglio 9.2%
Agosto 8.7%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027 3.4%
$339,873 Vol.
$339,873 Vol.
Maggio
1%
Giugno
80%
Luglio
9%
Agosto
9%
Settembre
<1%
Ottobre
1%
Novembre
1%
Dicembre
<1%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027
3%
Giugno 82%
Luglio 9.2%
Agosto 8.7%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027 3.4%
$339,873 Vol.
$339,873 Vol.
Maggio
1%
Giugno
80%
Luglio
9%
Agosto
9%
Settembre
<1%
Ottobre
1%
Novembre
1%
Dicembre
<1%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027
3%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercato aperto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 79.5% implied probability for a SpaceX IPO in June, driven by yesterday's CNBC report that the company could release its public prospectus as early as next week following its April 1 confidential SEC filing, with a roadshow targeted for the week of June 8. This timeline aligns with earlier Reuters disclosures of early June investor pitches and a potential late-June listing at a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation, bolstered by a $20 billion loan secured last month to support Starlink expansion. July at 9.2% reflects minor slippage risk amid regulatory review, while longer-dated outcomes trade at low single digits amid firm momentum and no reported delays. Key watch: S-1 filing details and underwriter allocations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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