Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, at a 76.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or pricing announcements following the company's confidential draft submission in January 2026. With only six weeks remaining, the tight timeline amid regulatory review and roadshow preparations has solidified trader consensus for a likely H2 deferral. Secondary market valuations have compressed to $7-10 billion from the 2021 peak of $15 billion, reflecting monetization challenges in gaming-centric revenue and lagging enterprise adoption, positioning the <15B market cap outcome at 15.1%. Higher brackets like 25-30B (8.5%) face headwinds from SaaS multiple contraction; watch for an S-1 release as the key catalyst to shift odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMarket cap di chiusura IPO Discord
Market cap di chiusura IPO Discord
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 77%
<15 mld 15.2%
25–30 miliardi 8.4%
15–20 miliardi 8.2%
$888,984 Vol.
$888,984 Vol.
30 giu 2026
<15 mld
15%
15–20 miliardi
8%
20–25 miliardi
1%
25–30 miliardi
8%
30 miliardi+
1%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026
77%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 77%
<15 mld 15.2%
25–30 miliardi 8.4%
15–20 miliardi 8.2%
$888,984 Vol.
$888,984 Vol.
30 giu 2026
<15 mld
$298,387 Vol.
15%
15–20 miliardi
$109,427 Vol.
8%
20–25 miliardi
$74,403 Vol.
1%
25–30 miliardi
$112,987 Vol.
8%
30 miliardi+
$100,260 Vol.
1%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026
$193,520 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, at a 76.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or pricing announcements following the company's confidential draft submission in January 2026. With only six weeks remaining, the tight timeline amid regulatory review and roadshow preparations has solidified trader consensus for a likely H2 deferral. Secondary market valuations have compressed to $7-10 billion from the 2021 peak of $15 billion, reflecting monetization challenges in gaming-centric revenue and lagging enterprise adoption, positioning the <15B market cap outcome at 15.1%. Higher brackets like 25-30B (8.5%) face headwinds from SaaS multiple contraction; watch for an S-1 release as the key catalyst to shift odds.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$888,984Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, at a 76.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or pricing announcements following the company's confidential draft submission in January 2026. With only six weeks remaining, the tight timeline amid regulatory review and roadshow preparations has solidified trader consensus for a likely H2 deferral. Secondary market valuations have compressed to $7-10 billion from the 2021 peak of $15 billion, reflecting monetization challenges in gaming-centric revenue and lagging enterprise adoption, positioning the <15B market cap outcome at 15.1%. Higher brackets like 25-30B (8.5%) face headwinds from SaaS multiple contraction; watch for an S-1 release as the key catalyst to shift odds.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$888,984Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, at a 76.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing or pricing announcements following the company's confidential draft submission in January 2026. With only six weeks remaining, the tight timeline amid regulatory review and roadshow preparations has solidified trader consensus for a likely H2 deferral. Secondary market valuations have compressed to $7-10 billion from the 2021 peak of $15 billion, reflecting monetization challenges in gaming-centric revenue and lagging enterprise adoption, positioning the <15B market cap outcome at 15.1%. Higher brackets like 25-30B (8.5%) face headwinds from SaaS multiple contraction; watch for an S-1 release as the key catalyst to shift odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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