Oura's confidential SEC filing in May 2026, following its October 2025 Series E round that set an $11 billion valuation after raising over $900 million, has anchored trader sentiment around an IPO closing market cap of $17.5–20 billion or higher. Rapid revenue expansion—from roughly $500 million in 2024 toward $1 billion in 2025 and $1.5 billion in 2026—combined with 5.5 million units sold and AI-driven product enhancements, supports elevated multiples relative to peers in the wearables sector. With the leading outcome probabilities closely clustered between $17.5 billion and $20 billion-plus, market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over broader 2026 IPO conditions, potential regulatory timelines, and competitive positioning against established fitness and health tech names.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$17.5B–$20B 24%
$20B+ 18%
$7.5B–$10B 14%
$10B–$12.5B 13%
$59,202 Vol.
$59,202 Vol.
<$7.5B
12%
$7.5B–$10B
14%
$10B–$12.5B
13%
$12.5B–$15B
9%
$15B–$17.5B
13%
$17.5B–$20B
24%
$20B+
18%
No IPO before January 2027
2%
$17.5B–$20B 24%
$20B+ 18%
$7.5B–$10B 14%
$10B–$12.5B 13%
$59,202 Vol.
$59,202 Vol.
<$7.5B
12%
$7.5B–$10B
14%
$10B–$12.5B
13%
$12.5B–$15B
9%
$15B–$17.5B
13%
$17.5B–$20B
24%
$20B+
18%
No IPO before January 2027
2%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura's confidential SEC filing in May 2026, following its October 2025 Series E round that set an $11 billion valuation after raising over $900 million, has anchored trader sentiment around an IPO closing market cap of $17.5–20 billion or higher. Rapid revenue expansion—from roughly $500 million in 2024 toward $1 billion in 2025 and $1.5 billion in 2026—combined with 5.5 million units sold and AI-driven product enhancements, supports elevated multiples relative to peers in the wearables sector. With the leading outcome probabilities closely clustered between $17.5 billion and $20 billion-plus, market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over broader 2026 IPO conditions, potential regulatory timelines, and competitive positioning against established fitness and health tech names.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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