Recent Fed communications and the September 16 hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range have shifted focus from cuts to potential further tightening amid core PCE inflation holding at 3.4% in August. Officials including New York Fed President Williams and Vice Chair Jefferson have signaled no urgency for an October move, lowering market-implied odds of a hike at the October 27-28 FOMC while keeping December in play per the dot plot's 4.1% median endpoint. The October 2 nonfarm payrolls report and October 14 CPI release will provide key updates on labor conditions and price pressures before the next policy meeting, with 2-year Treasury yields recently exceeding 4.7% reflecting these dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoView resolved

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