President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Board of Governors if he remains after his four-year term as chair expired on May 15, 2026. These statements follow months of friction over the pace of interest-rate cuts, with Trump citing a Justice Department probe into the Fed’s headquarters renovation as leverage. Powell’s board appointment runs until 2028, raising legal questions about removal authority and the central bank’s independence. Markets have priced in heightened policy uncertainty, reflected in elevated Treasury volatility and widening spreads between the federal funds rate and longer-term yields, as traders weigh the risk that any attempted ouster could trigger immediate repricing of rate paths and risk assets ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump proverà a licenziare Powell come membro del consiglio della Fed entro...?
$15,174 Vol.
June 30
5%
31 dicembre
18%
$15,174 Vol.
June 30
5%
31 dicembre
18%
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Board of Governors if he remains after his four-year term as chair expired on May 15, 2026. These statements follow months of friction over the pace of interest-rate cuts, with Trump citing a Justice Department probe into the Fed’s headquarters renovation as leverage. Powell’s board appointment runs until 2028, raising legal questions about removal authority and the central bank’s independence. Markets have priced in heightened policy uncertainty, reflected in elevated Treasury volatility and widening spreads between the federal funds rate and longer-term yields, as traders weigh the risk that any attempted ouster could trigger immediate repricing of rate paths and risk assets ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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