President Trump has repeatedly threatened to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board after his term as Chair concluded in May 2026, with the most direct statements coming in April 2026 amid a Department of Justice investigation into Federal Reserve headquarters renovations. Powell's governor term runs until January 2028, and he has indicated he intends to remain until the probe concludes. Legal precedent limits removal to "for cause," creating procedural and potential court hurdles that traders weigh against administration pressure for alignment on monetary policy. Recent developments include the Senate-confirmed transition to Kevin Warsh as Chair and parallel actions targeting other governors, which continue to shape market assessments of whether an attempt will occur by the resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump proverà a licenziare Powell come membro del consiglio della Fed entro...?
$26,328 Vol.
31 agosto
23%
30 settembre
44%
31 dicembre
13%
$26,328 Vol.
31 agosto
23%
30 settembre
44%
31 dicembre
13%
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has repeatedly threatened to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board after his term as Chair concluded in May 2026, with the most direct statements coming in April 2026 amid a Department of Justice investigation into Federal Reserve headquarters renovations. Powell's governor term runs until January 2028, and he has indicated he intends to remain until the probe concludes. Legal precedent limits removal to "for cause," creating procedural and potential court hurdles that traders weigh against administration pressure for alignment on monetary policy. Recent developments include the Senate-confirmed transition to Kevin Warsh as Chair and parallel actions targeting other governors, which continue to shape market assessments of whether an attempt will occur by the resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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