OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in early June, following its March 2026 private round at an $852 billion valuation, serves as the main catalyst anchoring current Polymarket odds. Traders weigh rapid large language model revenue growth—now approaching a $20 billion annualized run rate—against steep ongoing losses and heavy infrastructure spending, creating a tight contest between sub-$1 trillion and $1.75–2 trillion outcomes. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s parallel filing adds uncertainty, while strong AI demand and banker involvement with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley support optimism for a potential September 2026 debut near or above $1 trillion. Market-implied probabilities capture this balance of demonstrated capabilities, capital needs, and public-market reception risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1.75T–$2.0T 21%
<$1T 18%
$1.25T–$1.5T 16%
$1.0T–$1.25T 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 lug 2027
<$1T
22%
$1.0T–$1.25T
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T
16%
$1.5T–$1.75T
14%
$1.75T–$2.0T
21%
$2.0T–$2.25T
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
6%
$2.5T+
5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 21%
<$1T 18%
$1.25T–$1.5T 16%
$1.0T–$1.25T 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 lug 2027
<$1T
$443 Vol.
22%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$80 Vol.
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$70 Vol.
16%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$163 Vol.
14%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$53 Vol.
21%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$293 Vol.
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$75 Vol.
6%
$2.5T+
$139 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in early June, following its March 2026 private round at an $852 billion valuation, serves as the main catalyst anchoring current Polymarket odds. Traders weigh rapid large language model revenue growth—now approaching a $20 billion annualized run rate—against steep ongoing losses and heavy infrastructure spending, creating a tight contest between sub-$1 trillion and $1.75–2 trillion outcomes. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s parallel filing adds uncertainty, while strong AI demand and banker involvement with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley support optimism for a potential September 2026 debut near or above $1 trillion. Market-implied probabilities capture this balance of demonstrated capabilities, capital needs, and public-market reception risks.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$1,315Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in early June, following its March 2026 private round at an $852 billion valuation, serves as the main catalyst anchoring current Polymarket odds. Traders weigh rapid large language model revenue growth—now approaching a $20 billion annualized run rate—against steep ongoing losses and heavy infrastructure spending, creating a tight contest between sub-$1 trillion and $1.75–2 trillion outcomes. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s parallel filing adds uncertainty, while strong AI demand and banker involvement with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley support optimism for a potential September 2026 debut near or above $1 trillion. Market-implied probabilities capture this balance of demonstrated capabilities, capital needs, and public-market reception risks.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,315Data di fine
1 lug 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing in early June, following its March 2026 private round at an $852 billion valuation, serves as the main catalyst anchoring current Polymarket odds. Traders weigh rapid large language model revenue growth—now approaching a $20 billion annualized run rate—against steep ongoing losses and heavy infrastructure spending, creating a tight contest between sub-$1 trillion and $1.75–2 trillion outcomes. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s parallel filing adds uncertainty, while strong AI demand and banker involvement with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley support optimism for a potential September 2026 debut near or above $1 trillion. Market-implied probabilities capture this balance of demonstrated capabilities, capital needs, and public-market reception risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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