OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and subsequent delay to a potential 2027 debut—signaled by CFO Sarah Friar in August—anchor trader expectations for a sizable IPO raise. The March 2026 $122 billion primary round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by a $7 billion employee tender at the same level, underscores sustained demand for AI exposure and supports market-implied odds favoring outcomes above $40 billion. Persistent pursuit of a $1 trillion valuation target, amid competition from Anthropic and SpaceX listings plus broader tech-market conditions, keeps the $100 billion-plus tranche in the lead while leaving room for smaller raises if macroeconomic or regulatory factors compress pricing. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 conversion and revenue inflection data that could accelerate timing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$100B+ 44%
<$30B 22.1%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 20.2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 dic 2027
<$30B
22%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
20%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
9%
$80B–$90B
20%
$90B–$100B
3%
$100B+
44%
$100B+ 44%
<$30B 22.1%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 20.2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 dic 2027
<$30B
$603 Vol.
22%
$30B–$40B
$463 Vol.
4%
$40B–$50B
$1,621 Vol.
20%
$50B–$60B
$1,153 Vol.
6%
$60B–$70B
$499 Vol.
8%
$70B–$80B
$489 Vol.
9%
$80B–$90B
$448 Vol.
20%
$90B–$100B
$306 Vol.
3%
$100B+
$1,542 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and subsequent delay to a potential 2027 debut—signaled by CFO Sarah Friar in August—anchor trader expectations for a sizable IPO raise. The March 2026 $122 billion primary round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by a $7 billion employee tender at the same level, underscores sustained demand for AI exposure and supports market-implied odds favoring outcomes above $40 billion. Persistent pursuit of a $1 trillion valuation target, amid competition from Anthropic and SpaceX listings plus broader tech-market conditions, keeps the $100 billion-plus tranche in the lead while leaving room for smaller raises if macroeconomic or regulatory factors compress pricing. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 conversion and revenue inflection data that could accelerate timing.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$7,124Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and subsequent delay to a potential 2027 debut—signaled by CFO Sarah Friar in August—anchor trader expectations for a sizable IPO raise. The March 2026 $122 billion primary round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by a $7 billion employee tender at the same level, underscores sustained demand for AI exposure and supports market-implied odds favoring outcomes above $40 billion. Persistent pursuit of a $1 trillion valuation target, amid competition from Anthropic and SpaceX listings plus broader tech-market conditions, keeps the $100 billion-plus tranche in the lead while leaving room for smaller raises if macroeconomic or regulatory factors compress pricing. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 conversion and revenue inflection data that could accelerate timing.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,124Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and subsequent delay to a potential 2027 debut—signaled by CFO Sarah Friar in August—anchor trader expectations for a sizable IPO raise. The March 2026 $122 billion primary round at an $852 billion post-money valuation, followed by a $7 billion employee tender at the same level, underscores sustained demand for AI exposure and supports market-implied odds favoring outcomes above $40 billion. Persistent pursuit of a $1 trillion valuation target, amid competition from Anthropic and SpaceX listings plus broader tech-market conditions, keeps the $100 billion-plus tranche in the lead while leaving room for smaller raises if macroeconomic or regulatory factors compress pricing. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 conversion and revenue inflection data that could accelerate timing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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