Portugal commands 65.5% implied probability to win Group K as the clear trader favorite, bolstered by their No. 5 FIFA ranking, unmatched squad depth with Cristiano Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes, and Roberto Martínez's tactical edge, plus strong recent training camp intensity showing no major injuries after earlier hamstring concerns for Ronaldo and Cancelo's knee issue. Colombia trails at 29%, reflecting CONMEBOL qualification momentum and James Rodríguez's return from a mid-April hospitalization, despite March friendly losses to France and Croatia exposing defensive frailties. DR Congo (3.6%) and Uzbekistan (0.8%) remain longshots due to lower rankings around 46th and 60th, limited World Cup experience, and inferior Elo ratings in previews from the past week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore Coppa del Mondo FIFA Gruppo K
Vincitore Coppa del Mondo FIFA Gruppo K
Portogallo 66%
Colombia 30%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo 3.7%
Uzbekistan <1%
$46,022 Vol.
$46,022 Vol.
Portogallo
66%
Colombia
30%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
4%
Uzbekistan
1%
Portogallo 66%
Colombia 30%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo 3.7%
Uzbekistan <1%
$46,022 Vol.
$46,022 Vol.
Portogallo
66%
Colombia
30%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
4%
Uzbekistan
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Portugal commands 65.5% implied probability to win Group K as the clear trader favorite, bolstered by their No. 5 FIFA ranking, unmatched squad depth with Cristiano Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes, and Roberto Martínez's tactical edge, plus strong recent training camp intensity showing no major injuries after earlier hamstring concerns for Ronaldo and Cancelo's knee issue. Colombia trails at 29%, reflecting CONMEBOL qualification momentum and James Rodríguez's return from a mid-April hospitalization, despite March friendly losses to France and Croatia exposing defensive frailties. DR Congo (3.6%) and Uzbekistan (0.8%) remain longshots due to lower rankings around 46th and 60th, limited World Cup experience, and inferior Elo ratings in previews from the past week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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