**Current CDC FluSurv-NET data show the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate stabilizing near 87.7 per 100,000 through Week 25 (ending June 27, 2026), after a severe 2025-2026 season that produced one of the higher totals since 2010-2011.** Weekly rates have fallen to 0.1 per 100,000 or lower as summer conditions suppress transmission, adding only marginal increments through Week 27. The closely matched market probabilities across bins from <80 to 95+ reflect genuine uncertainty around minor data revisions, reporting lags, and the precise final cumulative figure rather than ongoing spread. Historical patterns and current low activity levels anchor expectations near the 86-89 range, while model consensus and surveillance updates will determine any last adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTasso di ospedalizzazione per influenza Settimana 27, 2026?
Tasso di ospedalizzazione per influenza Settimana 27, 2026?
83–86 51%
80–83 50%
89–92 50%
92–95 50%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 lug 2026
<80
45%
80–83
50%
83–86
51%
86–89
52%
89–92
50%
92–95
50%
95+
50%
83–86 51%
80–83 50%
89–92 50%
92–95 50%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 lug 2026
<80
$13 Vol.
45%
80–83
$0 Vol.
50%
83–86
$0 Vol.
51%
86–89
$5 Vol.
52%
89–92
$0 Vol.
50%
92–95
$0 Vol.
50%
95+
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.**Current CDC FluSurv-NET data show the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate stabilizing near 87.7 per 100,000 through Week 25 (ending June 27, 2026), after a severe 2025-2026 season that produced one of the higher totals since 2010-2011.** Weekly rates have fallen to 0.1 per 100,000 or lower as summer conditions suppress transmission, adding only marginal increments through Week 27.
The closely matched market probabilities across bins from <80 to 95+ reflect genuine uncertainty around minor data revisions, reporting lags, and the precise final cumulative figure rather than ongoing spread. Historical patterns and current low activity levels anchor expectations near the 86-89 range, while model consensus and surveillance updates will determine any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercato aperto: Jul 10, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Volume
$18Data di fine
17 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.**Current CDC FluSurv-NET data show the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate stabilizing near 87.7 per 100,000 through Week 25 (ending June 27, 2026), after a severe 2025-2026 season that produced one of the higher totals since 2010-2011.** Weekly rates have fallen to 0.1 per 100,000 or lower as summer conditions suppress transmission, adding only marginal increments through Week 27.
The closely matched market probabilities across bins from <80 to 95+ reflect genuine uncertainty around minor data revisions, reporting lags, and the precise final cumulative figure rather than ongoing spread. Historical patterns and current low activity levels anchor expectations near the 86-89 range, while model consensus and surveillance updates will determine any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volume
$18Data di fine
17 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current CDC FluSurv-NET data show the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate stabilizing near 87.7 per 100,000 through Week 25 (ending June 27, 2026), after a severe 2025-2026 season that produced one of the higher totals since 2010-2011.** Weekly rates have fallen to 0.1 per 100,000 or lower as summer conditions suppress transmission, adding only marginal increments through Week 27. The closely matched market probabilities across bins from <80 to 95+ reflect genuine uncertainty around minor data revisions, reporting lags, and the precise final cumulative figure rather than ongoing spread. Historical patterns and current low activity levels anchor expectations near the 86-89 range, while model consensus and surveillance updates will determine any last adjustments before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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