Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race for June 2026 Gold (GC) futures settlement, with the $4,600-$5,000 band at 33.5% implied probability edging the $4,200-$4,600 outcome at 28.1%, reflecting recent downside pressure from hotter-than-expected April CPI data showing core inflation at 2.8% annually, up from 2.6% and above 2.7% forecasts. This has dimmed Federal Reserve rate-cut hopes, bolstering the U.S. dollar and lifting Treasury yields, driving June GC futures to around $4,680 from a January peak near $5,589. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI release on June 11, the June 17-18 FOMC meeting, and persistent geopolitical tensions that could reignite safe-haven demand, with lower bands gaining if inflation persists.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSu cosa si stabilirà Gold (GC) a giugno?
Su cosa si stabilirà Gold (GC) a giugno?
$4.600-$5.000 33%
$4.200-$4.600 28.0%
$5.000-$5.400 16.7%
$5.400-$5.800 9%
$945,170 Vol.
$945,170 Vol.
<$3.800
1%
$3.800-$4.200
8%
$4.200-$4.600
28%
$4.600-$5.000
33%
$5.000-$5.400
17%
$5.400-$5.800
9%
$5.800-$6.200
2%
>$6.200
2%
$4.600-$5.000 33%
$4.200-$4.600 28.0%
$5.000-$5.400 16.7%
$5.400-$5.800 9%
$945,170 Vol.
$945,170 Vol.
<$3.800
1%
$3.800-$4.200
8%
$4.200-$4.600
28%
$4.600-$5.000
33%
$5.000-$5.400
17%
$5.400-$5.800
9%
$5.800-$6.200
2%
>$6.200
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercato aperto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race for June 2026 Gold (GC) futures settlement, with the $4,600-$5,000 band at 33.5% implied probability edging the $4,200-$4,600 outcome at 28.1%, reflecting recent downside pressure from hotter-than-expected April CPI data showing core inflation at 2.8% annually, up from 2.6% and above 2.7% forecasts. This has dimmed Federal Reserve rate-cut hopes, bolstering the U.S. dollar and lifting Treasury yields, driving June GC futures to around $4,680 from a January peak near $5,589. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI release on June 11, the June 17-18 FOMC meeting, and persistent geopolitical tensions that could reignite safe-haven demand, with lower bands gaining if inflation persists.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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