Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 10 luglio?
La temperatura più alta ad Amsterdam il 10 luglio?
27°C 42%
26°C 29%
28°C 19.3%
25°C 11.6%
NUOVO
$31,387 Vol.
NUOVO
$31,387 Vol.
10 lug 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
12%
26°C
29%
27°C
42%
28°C
19%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 42%
26°C 29%
28°C 19.3%
25°C 11.6%
NUOVO
$31,387 Vol.
NUOVO
$31,387 Vol.
10 lug 2026
22°C o inferiore
$635 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,325 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,391 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,604 Vol.
12%
26°C
$4,397 Vol.
29%
27°C
$9,476 Vol.
42%
28°C
$3,586 Vol.
19%
29°C
$1,663 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,562 Vol.
1%
31°C
$718 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$1,039 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$31,387Data di fine
10 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,387Data di fine
10 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti