Current ensemble forecasts for Chengdu on September 23 point to a daily maximum near 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers, driven by a weak trough and high humidity typical of the Sichuan basin in late September. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, while light winds and high dew points near 18–20°C further cap daytime peaks. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and rainfall timing, with some runs allowing brief afternoon clearing that could push the high toward 26–27°C. Historical September averages hover near 23–25°C, and the closely bunched market probabilities around 25–27°C reflect this narrow range of plausible outcomes pending the next model updates from agencies like CMA and ECMWF.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 23 settembre?
27°C 25%
26°C 23%
25°C 21%
28°C 20%
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
15%
25°C
19%
26°C
23%
27°C
25%
28°C
20%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 25%
26°C 23%
25°C 21%
28°C 20%
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
15%
25°C
19%
26°C
23%
27°C
25%
28°C
20%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Chengdu on September 23 point to a daily maximum near 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers, driven by a weak trough and high humidity typical of the Sichuan basin in late September. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling, while light winds and high dew points near 18–20°C further cap daytime peaks. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and rainfall timing, with some runs allowing brief afternoon clearing that could push the high toward 26–27°C. Historical September averages hover near 23–25°C, and the closely bunched market probabilities around 25–27°C reflect this narrow range of plausible outcomes pending the next model updates from agencies like CMA and ECMWF.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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