Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate highs near 32–34°C for Chengdu on September 3, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these levels with 34°C holding a modest edge at 23%. Clear to partly cloudy conditions expected under subsiding monsoon influence, combined with light winds and the city's basin topography that can trap daytime heat, support potential peaks in this range, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty that tempers odds for 35°C or higher. Historical early-September averages near 27–29°C provide baseline context, but recent model consensus and current surface observations near 32°C underpin trader focus on incremental warming potential ahead of final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 3 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 3 settembre?
34°C 26%
33°C 21%
31°C 20%
35°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
27°C or below
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
11%
32°C
16%
33°C
21%
34°C
26%
35°C
20%
36°C
11%
37°C or higher
17%
34°C 26%
33°C 21%
31°C 20%
35°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
27°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
28°C
$127 Vol.
2%
29°C
$5 Vol.
4%
30°C
$16 Vol.
6%
31°C
$30 Vol.
11%
32°C
$0 Vol.
16%
33°C
$0 Vol.
21%
34°C
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$5 Vol.
20%
36°C
$5 Vol.
11%
37°C or higher
$5 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate highs near 32–34°C for Chengdu on September 3, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these levels with 34°C holding a modest edge at 23%. Clear to partly cloudy conditions expected under subsiding monsoon influence, combined with light winds and the city's basin topography that can trap daytime heat, support potential peaks in this range, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty that tempers odds for 35°C or higher. Historical early-September averages near 27–29°C provide baseline context, but recent model consensus and current surface observations near 32°C underpin trader focus on incremental warming potential ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$203Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate highs near 32–34°C for Chengdu on September 3, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these levels with 34°C holding a modest edge at 23%. Clear to partly cloudy conditions expected under subsiding monsoon influence, combined with light winds and the city's basin topography that can trap daytime heat, support potential peaks in this range, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty that tempers odds for 35°C or higher. Historical early-September averages near 27–29°C provide baseline context, but recent model consensus and current surface observations near 32°C underpin trader focus on incremental warming potential ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$203Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate highs near 32–34°C for Chengdu on September 3, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these levels with 34°C holding a modest edge at 23%. Clear to partly cloudy conditions expected under subsiding monsoon influence, combined with light winds and the city's basin topography that can trap daytime heat, support potential peaks in this range, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty that tempers odds for 35°C or higher. Historical early-September averages near 27–29°C provide baseline context, but recent model consensus and current surface observations near 32°C underpin trader focus on incremental warming potential ahead of final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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