The market-implied odds for Chicago’s July 10 high temperature center on the 78–81°F range because National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a moderating airmass with daytime highs near or slightly below normal. A surface high and northwest flow are expected to limit moisture and suppress afternoon heating, while Lake Michigan’s cool onshore breeze further caps readings near the official O’Hare or Midway sensors. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping the 84°F+ tail probabilities low; any late-day clearing or weaker lake effect could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored bin. Updated NWS short-range guidance and morning model runs will provide the final resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 10 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 10 luglio?
80-81°F 44%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 22%
84-85°F 6%
NUOVO
$11,345 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,345 Vol.
10 lug 2026
71°F o meno
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o superiore
<1%
80-81°F 44%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 22%
84-85°F 6%
NUOVO
$11,345 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,345 Vol.
10 lug 2026
71°F o meno
$518 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$241 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,304 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$1,707 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$793 Vol.
22%
80-81°F
$1,638 Vol.
44%
82-83°F
$2,146 Vol.
22%
84-85°F
$1,921 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$244 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$562 Vol.
<1%
90°F o superiore
$295 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds for Chicago’s July 10 high temperature center on the 78–81°F range because National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a moderating airmass with daytime highs near or slightly below normal. A surface high and northwest flow are expected to limit moisture and suppress afternoon heating, while Lake Michigan’s cool onshore breeze further caps readings near the official O’Hare or Midway sensors. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping the 84°F+ tail probabilities low; any late-day clearing or weaker lake effect could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored bin. Updated NWS short-range guidance and morning model runs will provide the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$11,345Data di fine
10 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds for Chicago’s July 10 high temperature center on the 78–81°F range because National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a moderating airmass with daytime highs near or slightly below normal. A surface high and northwest flow are expected to limit moisture and suppress afternoon heating, while Lake Michigan’s cool onshore breeze further caps readings near the official O’Hare or Midway sensors. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping the 84°F+ tail probabilities low; any late-day clearing or weaker lake effect could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored bin. Updated NWS short-range guidance and morning model runs will provide the final resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,345Data di fine
10 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds for Chicago’s July 10 high temperature center on the 78–81°F range because National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a moderating airmass with daytime highs near or slightly below normal. A surface high and northwest flow are expected to limit moisture and suppress afternoon heating, while Lake Michigan’s cool onshore breeze further caps readings near the official O’Hare or Midway sensors. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping the 84°F+ tail probabilities low; any late-day clearing or weaker lake effect could nudge readings toward the upper end of the favored bin. Updated NWS short-range guidance and morning model runs will provide the final resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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