Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological agencies points to daytime maxima near 34–36°C in Guangzhou on August 6, with market-implied odds favoring 36–37°C due to trader assessment of urban heat retention and limited cloud cover. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and weak steering flows, support heat buildup, while any scattered showers or increased southeasterly winds could cap peaks closer to 35°C. Historical August averages hover around 33–34°C, but short-term model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and insolation create genuine uncertainty between the closely matched leading outcomes. Updated observational data and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 6 agosto?
37°C 39%
36°C 36%
35°C 12%
38°C 9%
NUOVO
$20,400 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,400 Vol.
6 ago 2026
29°C o inferiore
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
12%
36°C
36%
37°C
39%
38°C
9%
39°C o superiore
2%
37°C 39%
36°C 36%
35°C 12%
38°C 9%
NUOVO
$20,400 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,400 Vol.
6 ago 2026
29°C o inferiore
$395 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$374 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$343 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,027 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$306 Vol.
2%
34°C
$616 Vol.
3%
35°C
$1,004 Vol.
12%
36°C
$10,117 Vol.
36%
37°C
$2,958 Vol.
39%
38°C
$2,087 Vol.
9%
39°C o superiore
$1,479 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological agencies points to daytime maxima near 34–36°C in Guangzhou on August 6, with market-implied odds favoring 36–37°C due to trader assessment of urban heat retention and limited cloud cover. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and weak steering flows, support heat buildup, while any scattered showers or increased southeasterly winds could cap peaks closer to 35°C. Historical August averages hover around 33–34°C, but short-term model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and insolation create genuine uncertainty between the closely matched leading outcomes. Updated observational data and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$20,400Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological agencies points to daytime maxima near 34–36°C in Guangzhou on August 6, with market-implied odds favoring 36–37°C due to trader assessment of urban heat retention and limited cloud cover. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and weak steering flows, support heat buildup, while any scattered showers or increased southeasterly winds could cap peaks closer to 35°C. Historical August averages hover around 33–34°C, but short-term model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and insolation create genuine uncertainty between the closely matched leading outcomes. Updated observational data and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,400Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological agencies points to daytime maxima near 34–36°C in Guangzhou on August 6, with market-implied odds favoring 36–37°C due to trader assessment of urban heat retention and limited cloud cover. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and weak steering flows, support heat buildup, while any scattered showers or increased southeasterly winds could cap peaks closer to 35°C. Historical August averages hover around 33–34°C, but short-term model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and insolation create genuine uncertainty between the closely matched leading outcomes. Updated observational data and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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