Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other models point to a maximum temperature of 32–35°C on July 11, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with high humidity, weak steering winds, and variable afternoon convection. Recent seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures for July–September 2026 amid ongoing regional warming trends. Key variables differentiating 33°C versus 35°C outcomes include the timing and extent of cloud cover or showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies allowing stronger insolation. Current model consensus and live trader positioning reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong l'11 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong l'11 luglio?
34°C 34%
33°C 25%
35°C 24%
32°C 9%
NUOVO
$22,544 Vol.
NUOVO
$22,544 Vol.
11 lug 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
9%
33°C
25%
34°C
34%
35°C
24%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 34%
33°C 25%
35°C 24%
32°C 9%
NUOVO
$22,544 Vol.
NUOVO
$22,544 Vol.
11 lug 2026
29°C or below
$4,633 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,666 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,652 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,749 Vol.
9%
33°C
$1,899 Vol.
25%
34°C
$1,693 Vol.
34%
35°C
$2,533 Vol.
24%
36°C
$969 Vol.
7%
37°C
$779 Vol.
3%
38°C
$589 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$2,381 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other models point to a maximum temperature of 32–35°C on July 11, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with high humidity, weak steering winds, and variable afternoon convection. Recent seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures for July–September 2026 amid ongoing regional warming trends. Key variables differentiating 33°C versus 35°C outcomes include the timing and extent of cloud cover or showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies allowing stronger insolation. Current model consensus and live trader positioning reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$22,544Data di fine
11 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other models point to a maximum temperature of 32–35°C on July 11, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with high humidity, weak steering winds, and variable afternoon convection. Recent seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures for July–September 2026 amid ongoing regional warming trends. Key variables differentiating 33°C versus 35°C outcomes include the timing and extent of cloud cover or showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies allowing stronger insolation. Current model consensus and live trader positioning reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,544Data di fine
11 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and other models point to a maximum temperature of 32–35°C on July 11, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with high humidity, weak steering winds, and variable afternoon convection. Recent seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures for July–September 2026 amid ongoing regional warming trends. Key variables differentiating 33°C versus 35°C outcomes include the timing and extent of cloud cover or showers, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, versus clearer skies allowing stronger insolation. Current model consensus and live trader positioning reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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