Latest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean driving daytime heating in Istanbul on June 11, with consensus maxima clustered near 25°C at official stations such as Istanbul Airport. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, northeasterly wind speeds, and the precise timing of peak insolation explain the tight market spread between 24°C and 25°C outcomes, while historical June averages of 25–27°C provide climatological context. Model spread remains modest, with limited disagreement on land-sea breeze moderation typical for the Bosphorus region; final resolution hinges on the next 12–24 hours of observational data and any last-run adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
24°C 36%
25°C 33%
23°C 18%
26°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 giu 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
18%
24°C
36%
25°C
33%
26°C
10%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 36%
25°C 33%
23°C 18%
26°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 giu 2026
18°C or below
$250 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$155 Vol.
2%
23°C
$213 Vol.
18%
24°C
$214 Vol.
36%
25°C
$211 Vol.
33%
26°C
$141 Vol.
10%
27°C
$193 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$234 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean driving daytime heating in Istanbul on June 11, with consensus maxima clustered near 25°C at official stations such as Istanbul Airport. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, northeasterly wind speeds, and the precise timing of peak insolation explain the tight market spread between 24°C and 25°C outcomes, while historical June averages of 25–27°C provide climatological context. Model spread remains modest, with limited disagreement on land-sea breeze moderation typical for the Bosphorus region; final resolution hinges on the next 12–24 hours of observational data and any last-run adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Volume
$2,035Data di fine
11 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean driving daytime heating in Istanbul on June 11, with consensus maxima clustered near 25°C at official stations such as Istanbul Airport. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, northeasterly wind speeds, and the precise timing of peak insolation explain the tight market spread between 24°C and 25°C outcomes, while historical June averages of 25–27°C provide climatological context. Model spread remains modest, with limited disagreement on land-sea breeze moderation typical for the Bosphorus region; final resolution hinges on the next 12–24 hours of observational data and any last-run adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,035Data di fine
11 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean driving daytime heating in Istanbul on June 11, with consensus maxima clustered near 25°C at official stations such as Istanbul Airport. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, northeasterly wind speeds, and the precise timing of peak insolation explain the tight market spread between 24°C and 25°C outcomes, while historical June averages of 25–27°C provide climatological context. Model spread remains modest, with limited disagreement on land-sea breeze moderation typical for the Bosphorus region; final resolution hinges on the next 12–24 hours of observational data and any last-run adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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