**Forecast consensus from Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) and international models points to a daily maximum of 34°C in Kuala Lumpur on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Tropical southwest monsoon conditions, combined with high humidity and urban heat island effects, typically produce afternoon highs of 32–35°C in late August, while recent haze from regional biomass burning may slightly suppress convective cooling without substantially altering peak temperatures. Official MetMalaysia guidance for August 29 specifies haze with a maximum of 34°C and limited precipitation risk, consistent with nearby station data showing similar readings in prior days of the month. Model runs from sources like the Met Office and Yr.no cluster around 34–35°C, explaining the secondary weighting on 35°C (22.5%) and the lower probability for 33°C (17.5%). Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow forecast range ahead of any final observational adjustments on resolution day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Kuala Lumpur il 29 agosto?
34°C 57%
35°C 21%
33°C 18%
36°C 1.1%
$13,582 Vol.
$13,582 Vol.
29°C o inferiore
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
18%
34°C
57%
35°C
21%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o superiore
<1%
34°C 57%
35°C 21%
33°C 18%
36°C 1.1%
$13,582 Vol.
$13,582 Vol.
29°C o inferiore
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
18%
34°C
57%
35°C
21%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from Malaysian Meteorological Department (MetMalaysia) and international models points to a daily maximum of 34°C in Kuala Lumpur on August 29, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Tropical southwest monsoon conditions, combined with high humidity and urban heat island effects, typically produce afternoon highs of 32–35°C in late August, while recent haze from regional biomass burning may slightly suppress convective cooling without substantially altering peak temperatures. Official MetMalaysia guidance for August 29 specifies haze with a maximum of 34°C and limited precipitation risk, consistent with nearby station data showing similar readings in prior days of the month. Model runs from sources like the Met Office and Yr.no cluster around 34–35°C, explaining the secondary weighting on 35°C (22.5%) and the lower probability for 33°C (17.5%). Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow forecast range ahead of any final observational adjustments on resolution day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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