Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts show a cold front crossing southern England overnight on October 15, shifting winds to the northwest and advecting cooler maritime air that caps daytime heating. This follows Thursday’s 21°C peak under southerly flow, with October 16 expected to reach only 15–16°C amid morning showers and gradual afternoon clearing. Model spread in shower timing and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow gap between 16°C and 17°C outcomes that dominate market pricing, while historical October maxima near 15.7°C provide context for the current trader consensus. Updated NWP runs and surface observations through the morning will refine the precise peak.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoView resolved

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