PAGASA's latest outlook for July 10 points to a 30°C high in Manila amid widespread cloud cover and a 100% chance of rain tied to the Southwest Monsoon, moderating daytime heating below the typical July average near 31°C. Persistent easterly or monsoon flows promote convective activity that limits solar insolation and caps maxima, while any brief clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach 31°C. With outcomes clustered tightly around 30–31°C, traders weigh short-term model runs and monsoon intensity against historical variability in peak readings measured at official stations. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather predictions through July 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 10 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 10 luglio?
31°C 47%
32°C 30%
30°C 15%
33°C 9.1%
NUOVO
$22,963 Vol.
NUOVO
$22,963 Vol.
10 lug 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
15%
31°C
47%
32°C
30%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 30%
30°C 15%
33°C 9.1%
NUOVO
$22,963 Vol.
NUOVO
$22,963 Vol.
10 lug 2026
25°C o inferiore
$1,854 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,172 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$734 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,283 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,981 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,633 Vol.
15%
31°C
$1,654 Vol.
47%
32°C
$1,866 Vol.
30%
33°C
$2,031 Vol.
9%
34°C
$1,204 Vol.
1%
35°C o superiore
$1,555 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest outlook for July 10 points to a 30°C high in Manila amid widespread cloud cover and a 100% chance of rain tied to the Southwest Monsoon, moderating daytime heating below the typical July average near 31°C. Persistent easterly or monsoon flows promote convective activity that limits solar insolation and caps maxima, while any brief clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach 31°C. With outcomes clustered tightly around 30–31°C, traders weigh short-term model runs and monsoon intensity against historical variability in peak readings measured at official stations. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather predictions through July 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$22,963Data di fine
10 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's latest outlook for July 10 points to a 30°C high in Manila amid widespread cloud cover and a 100% chance of rain tied to the Southwest Monsoon, moderating daytime heating below the typical July average near 31°C. Persistent easterly or monsoon flows promote convective activity that limits solar insolation and caps maxima, while any brief clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach 31°C. With outcomes clustered tightly around 30–31°C, traders weigh short-term model runs and monsoon intensity against historical variability in peak readings measured at official stations. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather predictions through July 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,963Data di fine
10 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest outlook for July 10 points to a 30°C high in Manila amid widespread cloud cover and a 100% chance of rain tied to the Southwest Monsoon, moderating daytime heating below the typical July average near 31°C. Persistent easterly or monsoon flows promote convective activity that limits solar insolation and caps maxima, while any brief clearing or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to reach 31°C. With outcomes clustered tightly around 30–31°C, traders weigh short-term model runs and monsoon intensity against historical variability in peak readings measured at official stations. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather predictions through July 9 will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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