Trader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s July 28 high reflects the dominant influence of the marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific, which typically caps afternoon temperatures near the 68–72°F July climatological average at the official KSFO station. NOAA and NWS guidance show modest warming potential from a building high-pressure ridge, but model spreads in cloud-clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering across 68–73°F bins. Stronger winds or deeper fog would favor the lower outcomes, while any offshore component could briefly push readings toward 74°F. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the airport, with final forecast updates expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 28 luglio?
70-71°F 35%
68-69°F 29%
66-67°F 18%
72-73°F 17%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
4%
78°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 35%
68-69°F 29%
66-67°F 18%
72-73°F 17%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
4%
78°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 26, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 70–73°F for San Francisco’s July 28 high reflects the dominant influence of the marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific, which typically caps afternoon temperatures near the 68–72°F July climatological average at the official KSFO station. NOAA and NWS guidance show modest warming potential from a building high-pressure ridge, but model spreads in cloud-clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering across 68–73°F bins. Stronger winds or deeper fog would favor the lower outcomes, while any offshore component could briefly push readings toward 74°F. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the airport, with final forecast updates expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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