Trader consensus has converged on 30°C and 31°C as the most probable daily maxima for Tel Aviv on July 7, reflecting ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF that places the central tendency near the July climatological average of 30–32°C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, which typically peaks in the afternoon and draws cooler Mediterranean air onshore, is the dominant moderating factor, while any strengthening of easterly Sharav flow from the interior could add 1–2°C. Short-range model runs show modest spread around these thresholds due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, leaving genuine uncertainty that traders price through the narrow 1°C gap. Updated high-resolution forecasts and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 7?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 7?
30°C 40%
31°C 40%
32°C 13%
29°C 3.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 lug 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
40%
31°C
40%
32°C
13%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 40%
32°C 13%
29°C 3.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 lug 2026
27°C or below
$238 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$249 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$405 Vol.
3%
30°C
$790 Vol.
40%
31°C
$5,400 Vol.
40%
32°C
$862 Vol.
13%
33°C
$484 Vol.
2%
34°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on 30°C and 31°C as the most probable daily maxima for Tel Aviv on July 7, reflecting ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF that places the central tendency near the July climatological average of 30–32°C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, which typically peaks in the afternoon and draws cooler Mediterranean air onshore, is the dominant moderating factor, while any strengthening of easterly Sharav flow from the interior could add 1–2°C. Short-range model runs show modest spread around these thresholds due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, leaving genuine uncertainty that traders price through the narrow 1°C gap. Updated high-resolution forecasts and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$9,219Data di fine
7 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on 30°C and 31°C as the most probable daily maxima for Tel Aviv on July 7, reflecting ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF that places the central tendency near the July climatological average of 30–32°C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, which typically peaks in the afternoon and draws cooler Mediterranean air onshore, is the dominant moderating factor, while any strengthening of easterly Sharav flow from the interior could add 1–2°C. Short-range model runs show modest spread around these thresholds due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, leaving genuine uncertainty that traders price through the narrow 1°C gap. Updated high-resolution forecasts and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,219Data di fine
7 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has converged on 30°C and 31°C as the most probable daily maxima for Tel Aviv on July 7, reflecting ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF that places the central tendency near the July climatological average of 30–32°C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, which typically peaks in the afternoon and draws cooler Mediterranean air onshore, is the dominant moderating factor, while any strengthening of easterly Sharav flow from the interior could add 1–2°C. Short-range model runs show modest spread around these thresholds due to small differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, leaving genuine uncertainty that traders price through the narrow 1°C gap. Updated high-resolution forecasts and morning soundings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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