Recent long-range forecasts from sources like the Old Farmer's Almanac and seasonal outlooks point to hot conditions across southern Ontario for July 1, with a few thunderstorms possible amid building heat, supporting the market's tight clustering around 35–37°C. Primary drivers include a transitioning atmospheric pattern favoring high pressure and southerly flow, though Great Lakes influences and potential lake breezes could moderate Toronto readings. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in storm timing, cloud cover, and exact peak intensity, with historical July maxima near 30–32°C providing baseline context. Traders weigh these variables against official Environment Canada guidance ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Toronto on July 1?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 1?
36°C 35%
35°C 25%
37°C 21%
34°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 lug 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
25%
36°C
35%
37°C
21%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
3%
36°C 35%
35°C 25%
37°C 21%
34°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 lug 2026
29°C or below
$730 Vol.
1%
30°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$72 Vol.
1%
32°C
$28 Vol.
1%
33°C
$89 Vol.
4%
34°C
$383 Vol.
16%
35°C
$112 Vol.
25%
36°C
$185 Vol.
35%
37°C
$143 Vol.
21%
38°C
$277 Vol.
3%
39°C or higher
$760 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent long-range forecasts from sources like the Old Farmer's Almanac and seasonal outlooks point to hot conditions across southern Ontario for July 1, with a few thunderstorms possible amid building heat, supporting the market's tight clustering around 35–37°C. Primary drivers include a transitioning atmospheric pattern favoring high pressure and southerly flow, though Great Lakes influences and potential lake breezes could moderate Toronto readings. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in storm timing, cloud cover, and exact peak intensity, with historical July maxima near 30–32°C providing baseline context. Traders weigh these variables against official Environment Canada guidance ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$2,890Data di fine
1 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent long-range forecasts from sources like the Old Farmer's Almanac and seasonal outlooks point to hot conditions across southern Ontario for July 1, with a few thunderstorms possible amid building heat, supporting the market's tight clustering around 35–37°C. Primary drivers include a transitioning atmospheric pattern favoring high pressure and southerly flow, though Great Lakes influences and potential lake breezes could moderate Toronto readings. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in storm timing, cloud cover, and exact peak intensity, with historical July maxima near 30–32°C providing baseline context. Traders weigh these variables against official Environment Canada guidance ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,890Data di fine
1 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent long-range forecasts from sources like the Old Farmer's Almanac and seasonal outlooks point to hot conditions across southern Ontario for July 1, with a few thunderstorms possible amid building heat, supporting the market's tight clustering around 35–37°C. Primary drivers include a transitioning atmospheric pattern favoring high pressure and southerly flow, though Great Lakes influences and potential lake breezes could moderate Toronto readings. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in storm timing, cloud cover, and exact peak intensity, with historical July maxima near 30–32°C providing baseline context. Traders weigh these variables against official Environment Canada guidance ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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