Idaho's entrenched Republican dominance in federal contests underpins trader consensus that the party's nominee will prevail in the November 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Jim Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The recent withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth, who cited insufficient party support, has left independent Todd Achilles as the primary challenger, though Achilles trails significantly in resources and statewide positioning. Historical results, including the state's 36-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, further anchor expectations. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving Risch remain the principal variables that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRepubblicano 95.9%
Democratico 1.8%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.0%
$32,893 Vol.
$32,893 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Repubblicano
96%
Democratico
2%
Todd Achilles (I)
1%
Repubblicano 95.9%
Democratico 1.8%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.0%
$32,893 Vol.
$32,893 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Repubblicano
$18,332 Vol.
96%
Democratico
$14,387 Vol.
2%
Todd Achilles (I)
$175 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's entrenched Republican dominance in federal contests underpins trader consensus that the party's nominee will prevail in the November 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Jim Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The recent withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth, who cited insufficient party support, has left independent Todd Achilles as the primary challenger, though Achilles trails significantly in resources and statewide positioning. Historical results, including the state's 36-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, further anchor expectations. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving Risch remain the principal variables that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$32,893Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's entrenched Republican dominance in federal contests underpins trader consensus that the party's nominee will prevail in the November 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Jim Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The recent withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth, who cited insufficient party support, has left independent Todd Achilles as the primary challenger, though Achilles trails significantly in resources and statewide positioning. Historical results, including the state's 36-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, further anchor expectations. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving Risch remain the principal variables that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$32,893Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's entrenched Republican dominance in federal contests underpins trader consensus that the party's nominee will prevail in the November 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Jim Risch secured the GOP nomination in the May primary with minimal opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, while all major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The recent withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth, who cited insufficient party support, has left independent Todd Achilles as the primary challenger, though Achilles trails significantly in resources and statewide positioning. Historical results, including the state's 36-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, further anchor expectations. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving Risch remain the principal variables that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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