Idaho's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by long-serving incumbent Mike Simpson's primary victory in May 2026 and the area's consistent conservative voting patterns across eastern and northern Idaho. Simpson's re-election margins in prior cycles, combined with limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the district, have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. With the general election set for November 2026 and no competitive primary challenges remaining, market pricing reflects the structural barriers for Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath. Scenarios that could still shift odds include major candidate health developments, late scandals, or an unexpected national political realignment altering turnout dynamics before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoID-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
ID-02 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$30,364 Vol.
$30,364 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
94%
Partito Democratico
7%
$30,364 Vol.
$30,364 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$13,015 Vol.
94%
Partito Democratico
$17,350 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by long-serving incumbent Mike Simpson's primary victory in May 2026 and the area's consistent conservative voting patterns across eastern and northern Idaho. Simpson's re-election margins in prior cycles, combined with limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the district, have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. With the general election set for November 2026 and no competitive primary challenges remaining, market pricing reflects the structural barriers for Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath. Scenarios that could still shift odds include major candidate health developments, late scandals, or an unexpected national political realignment altering turnout dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$30,364Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by long-serving incumbent Mike Simpson's primary victory in May 2026 and the area's consistent conservative voting patterns across eastern and northern Idaho. Simpson's re-election margins in prior cycles, combined with limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the district, have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. With the general election set for November 2026 and no competitive primary challenges remaining, market pricing reflects the structural barriers for Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath. Scenarios that could still shift odds include major candidate health developments, late scandals, or an unexpected national political realignment altering turnout dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,364Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by long-serving incumbent Mike Simpson's primary victory in May 2026 and the area's consistent conservative voting patterns across eastern and northern Idaho. Simpson's re-election margins in prior cycles, combined with limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the district, have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. With the general election set for November 2026 and no competitive primary challenges remaining, market pricing reflects the structural barriers for Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath. Scenarios that could still shift odds include major candidate health developments, late scandals, or an unexpected national political realignment altering turnout dynamics before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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