Illinois's strong Democratic lean and open Senate seat following Dick Durbin's retirement have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear favorite in the November 2026 general election. She secured the Democratic nomination in March after a competitive primary, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker and prevailing over other prominent contenders with strong fundraising and party support. Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have dominated recent Senate contests. Current trader consensus at 95.3% for Stratton reflects this partisan baseline and candidate profiles, though shifts could arise from major late developments such as scandals, significant national political waves, or unexpected turnout changes in key areas.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$29,618 Vol.
$29,618 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
95%
Don Tracy (R)
3%
$29,618 Vol.
$29,618 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$15,199 Vol.
95%
Don Tracy (R)
$14,419 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean and open Senate seat following Dick Durbin's retirement have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear favorite in the November 2026 general election. She secured the Democratic nomination in March after a competitive primary, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker and prevailing over other prominent contenders with strong fundraising and party support. Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have dominated recent Senate contests. Current trader consensus at 95.3% for Stratton reflects this partisan baseline and candidate profiles, though shifts could arise from major late developments such as scandals, significant national political waves, or unexpected turnout changes in key areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$29,618Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's strong Democratic lean and open Senate seat following Dick Durbin's retirement have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear favorite in the November 2026 general election. She secured the Democratic nomination in March after a competitive primary, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker and prevailing over other prominent contenders with strong fundraising and party support. Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have dominated recent Senate contests. Current trader consensus at 95.3% for Stratton reflects this partisan baseline and candidate profiles, though shifts could arise from major late developments such as scandals, significant national political waves, or unexpected turnout changes in key areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$29,618Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's strong Democratic lean and open Senate seat following Dick Durbin's retirement have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear favorite in the November 2026 general election. She secured the Democratic nomination in March after a competitive primary, backed by Gov. JB Pritzker and prevailing over other prominent contenders with strong fundraising and party support. Republican nominee Don Tracy, the former state party chair, won his primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where Democrats have dominated recent Senate contests. Current trader consensus at 95.3% for Stratton reflects this partisan baseline and candidate profiles, though shifts could arise from major late developments such as scandals, significant national political waves, or unexpected turnout changes in key areas.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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