**Recent polling and race ratings show Jon Ossoff holding a modest but consistent lead in his 2026 re-election bid against Republican challenger Mike Collins, while Raphael Warnock faces no Senate contest until 2028.** This positions the trader consensus behind “No” (neither senator out after the cycle) at 56%. Ossoff’s incumbency, combined with Georgia’s recent Democratic Senate wins in 2020–2022 and current surveys (such as Fox News showing him ahead by double digits and other polls in the mid-40s to low-50s range), supports the slight edge for retention. Warnock’s seat is not on the ballot, removing any near-term electoral risk for him. The race remains competitive in a state Trump carried in 2024, with turnout, candidate positioning, and any late-cycle developments in the battleground likely to influence final margins before November 3, 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
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31 dic 2026
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This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.**Recent polling and race ratings show Jon Ossoff holding a modest but consistent lead in his 2026 re-election bid against Republican challenger Mike Collins, while Raphael Warnock faces no Senate contest until 2028.**
This positions the trader consensus behind “No” (neither senator out after the cycle) at 56%. Ossoff’s incumbency, combined with Georgia’s recent Democratic Senate wins in 2020–2022 and current surveys (such as Fox News showing him ahead by double digits and other polls in the mid-40s to low-50s range), supports the slight edge for retention.
Warnock’s seat is not on the ballot, removing any near-term electoral risk for him. The race remains competitive in a state Trump carried in 2024, with turnout, candidate positioning, and any late-cycle developments in the battleground likely to influence final margins before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Mercato aperto: Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.**Recent polling and race ratings show Jon Ossoff holding a modest but consistent lead in his 2026 re-election bid against Republican challenger Mike Collins, while Raphael Warnock faces no Senate contest until 2028.**
This positions the trader consensus behind “No” (neither senator out after the cycle) at 56%. Ossoff’s incumbency, combined with Georgia’s recent Democratic Senate wins in 2020–2022 and current surveys (such as Fox News showing him ahead by double digits and other polls in the mid-40s to low-50s range), supports the slight edge for retention.
Warnock’s seat is not on the ballot, removing any near-term electoral risk for him. The race remains competitive in a state Trump carried in 2024, with turnout, candidate positioning, and any late-cycle developments in the battleground likely to influence final margins before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Volume
$0Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent polling and race ratings show Jon Ossoff holding a modest but consistent lead in his 2026 re-election bid against Republican challenger Mike Collins, while Raphael Warnock faces no Senate contest until 2028.** This positions the trader consensus behind “No” (neither senator out after the cycle) at 56%. Ossoff’s incumbency, combined with Georgia’s recent Democratic Senate wins in 2020–2022 and current surveys (such as Fox News showing him ahead by double digits and other polls in the mid-40s to low-50s range), supports the slight edge for retention. Warnock’s seat is not on the ballot, removing any near-term electoral risk for him. The race remains competitive in a state Trump carried in 2024, with turnout, candidate positioning, and any late-cycle developments in the battleground likely to influence final margins before November 3, 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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