**Jon Ossoff faces Republican Mike Collins in Georgia’s 2026 Senate election, while Raphael Warnock’s term runs through 2029.** Recent polling averages show Ossoff ahead by 5–8 points, with forecasts from outlets including Sabato’s Crystal Ball and the Cook Political Report rating the race Lean or Likely Democratic. Strong fundraising, the absence of top-tier GOP challengers such as term-limited Governor Brian Kemp, and Ossoff’s focus on constituent services and criticism of the Trump administration have stabilized his position. No public signals indicate either senator plans to resign or retire before the end of their terms. Trader consensus for “No” at 96.8% reflects these structural and electoral factors. Late developments such as health events, major scandals, or an unforeseen shift in the general-election environment remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
3% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
Sì
3% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.**Jon Ossoff faces Republican Mike Collins in Georgia’s 2026 Senate election, while Raphael Warnock’s term runs through 2029.** Recent polling averages show Ossoff ahead by 5–8 points, with forecasts from outlets including Sabato’s Crystal Ball and the Cook Political Report rating the race Lean or Likely Democratic. Strong fundraising, the absence of top-tier GOP challengers such as term-limited Governor Brian Kemp, and Ossoff’s focus on constituent services and criticism of the Trump administration have stabilized his position. No public signals indicate either senator plans to resign or retire before the end of their terms. Trader consensus for “No” at 96.8% reflects these structural and electoral factors. Late developments such as health events, major scandals, or an unforeseen shift in the general-election environment remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Mercato aperto: Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Volume
$1,184Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.**Jon Ossoff faces Republican Mike Collins in Georgia’s 2026 Senate election, while Raphael Warnock’s term runs through 2029.** Recent polling averages show Ossoff ahead by 5–8 points, with forecasts from outlets including Sabato’s Crystal Ball and the Cook Political Report rating the race Lean or Likely Democratic. Strong fundraising, the absence of top-tier GOP challengers such as term-limited Governor Brian Kemp, and Ossoff’s focus on constituent services and criticism of the Trump administration have stabilized his position. No public signals indicate either senator plans to resign or retire before the end of their terms. Trader consensus for “No” at 96.8% reflects these structural and electoral factors. Late developments such as health events, major scandals, or an unforeseen shift in the general-election environment remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Volume
$1,184Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Jon Ossoff faces Republican Mike Collins in Georgia’s 2026 Senate election, while Raphael Warnock’s term runs through 2029.** Recent polling averages show Ossoff ahead by 5–8 points, with forecasts from outlets including Sabato’s Crystal Ball and the Cook Political Report rating the race Lean or Likely Democratic. Strong fundraising, the absence of top-tier GOP challengers such as term-limited Governor Brian Kemp, and Ossoff’s focus on constituent services and criticism of the Trump administration have stabilized his position. No public signals indicate either senator plans to resign or retire before the end of their terms. Trader consensus for “No” at 96.8% reflects these structural and electoral factors. Late developments such as health events, major scandals, or an unforeseen shift in the general-election environment remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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