Recent vote tallies from Los Angeles's June 2 mayoral primary place Spencer Pratt at roughly 25.5 percent, securing a clear margin above the 25 percent threshold even as Nithya Raman overtook him for second place behind incumbent Karen Bass. Trader consensus at 98.9 percent on the "Over" side reflects the advanced stage of counting, with the bulk of ballots already processed and remaining mail and provisional votes unlikely to reverse the result under standard turnout patterns. Late-count swings or certification disputes represent the only plausible paths to a sub-25 percent outcome, though both appear remote given the current spread and historical behavior of LA ballots.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?
LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?
Over
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Over
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Recent vote tallies from Los Angeles's June 2 mayoral primary place Spencer Pratt at roughly 25.5 percent, securing a clear margin above the 25 percent threshold even as Nithya Raman overtook him for second place behind incumbent Karen Bass. Trader consensus at 98.9 percent on the "Over" side reflects the advanced stage of counting, with the bulk of ballots already processed and remaining mail and provisional votes unlikely to reverse the result under standard turnout patterns. Late-count swings or certification disputes represent the only plausible paths to a sub-25 percent outcome, though both appear remote given the current spread and historical behavior of LA ballots.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Mercato aperto: Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Volume
$3,032Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Recent vote tallies from Los Angeles's June 2 mayoral primary place Spencer Pratt at roughly 25.5 percent, securing a clear margin above the 25 percent threshold even as Nithya Raman overtook him for second place behind incumbent Karen Bass. Trader consensus at 98.9 percent on the "Over" side reflects the advanced stage of counting, with the bulk of ballots already processed and remaining mail and provisional votes unlikely to reverse the result under standard turnout patterns. Late-count swings or certification disputes represent the only plausible paths to a sub-25 percent outcome, though both appear remote given the current spread and historical behavior of LA ballots.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election was held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Spencer Pratt receives greater than or equal to 25% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”.
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Spencer Pratt divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volume
$3,032Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 7, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent vote tallies from Los Angeles's June 2 mayoral primary place Spencer Pratt at roughly 25.5 percent, securing a clear margin above the 25 percent threshold even as Nithya Raman overtook him for second place behind incumbent Karen Bass. Trader consensus at 98.9 percent on the "Over" side reflects the advanced stage of counting, with the bulk of ballots already processed and remaining mail and provisional votes unlikely to reverse the result under standard turnout patterns. Late-count swings or certification disputes represent the only plausible paths to a sub-25 percent outcome, though both appear remote given the current spread and historical behavior of LA ballots.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti