Persistent June gloom marine layer and onshore flow are the main drivers keeping Los Angeles coastal highs tightly contested between the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins at 47.5% and 45.5% implied probability. National Weather Service and model guidance show the inversion layer limiting afternoon warming at LAX, with sea-breeze timing and any late-day clearing creating the narrow spread; climatological June averages near 75°F provide context but current conditions favor the lower end. Minor upward shifts in 74-75°F odds reflect any weakening of the marine influence in updated runs, while lower bins remain sidelined absent stronger cooling. Traders monitor the next NWS forecast discussion and real-time observations for resolution by evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 14 giugno?
70-71°F 48%
72-73°F 46%
68-69°F 4.5%
74-75°F 3.0%
$18,885 Vol.
$18,885 Vol.
61°F o inferiore
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
46%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80°F o superiore
<1%
70-71°F 48%
72-73°F 46%
68-69°F 4.5%
74-75°F 3.0%
$18,885 Vol.
$18,885 Vol.
61°F o inferiore
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
46%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent June gloom marine layer and onshore flow are the main drivers keeping Los Angeles coastal highs tightly contested between the 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins at 47.5% and 45.5% implied probability. National Weather Service and model guidance show the inversion layer limiting afternoon warming at LAX, with sea-breeze timing and any late-day clearing creating the narrow spread; climatological June averages near 75°F provide context but current conditions favor the lower end. Minor upward shifts in 74-75°F odds reflect any weakening of the marine influence in updated runs, while lower bins remain sidelined absent stronger cooling. Traders monitor the next NWS forecast discussion and real-time observations for resolution by evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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