Current forecast guidance from MetService and other models points to a maximum of 11–13°C for Wellington on June 16, with southerly flows and possible morning showers limiting daytime warming before any afternoon northwesterly shift. This aligns with the closely matched market odds favoring 12°C or 13°C while assigning meaningful probability to 11°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind timing and cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. June climatology shows average highs near 13°C, and NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicated near-average conditions overall, though recent early-month warmth highlights potential for brief anomalies. Updated model runs and the next MetService briefing remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
13°C 39%
12°C 37%
11°C 20%
14°C 4.9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 giu 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
20%
12°C
37%
13°C
39%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 39%
12°C 37%
11°C 20%
14°C 4.9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 giu 2026
7°C or below
$126 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$59 Vol.
1%
10°C
$82 Vol.
4%
11°C
$271 Vol.
20%
12°C
$385 Vol.
37%
13°C
$787 Vol.
39%
14°C
$1,318 Vol.
5%
15°C
$356 Vol.
3%
16°C
$31 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from MetService and other models points to a maximum of 11–13°C for Wellington on June 16, with southerly flows and possible morning showers limiting daytime warming before any afternoon northwesterly shift. This aligns with the closely matched market odds favoring 12°C or 13°C while assigning meaningful probability to 11°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind timing and cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. June climatology shows average highs near 13°C, and NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicated near-average conditions overall, though recent early-month warmth highlights potential for brief anomalies. Updated model runs and the next MetService briefing remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,571Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from MetService and other models points to a maximum of 11–13°C for Wellington on June 16, with southerly flows and possible morning showers limiting daytime warming before any afternoon northwesterly shift. This aligns with the closely matched market odds favoring 12°C or 13°C while assigning meaningful probability to 11°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind timing and cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. June climatology shows average highs near 13°C, and NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicated near-average conditions overall, though recent early-month warmth highlights potential for brief anomalies. Updated model runs and the next MetService briefing remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,571Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from MetService and other models points to a maximum of 11–13°C for Wellington on June 16, with southerly flows and possible morning showers limiting daytime warming before any afternoon northwesterly shift. This aligns with the closely matched market odds favoring 12°C or 13°C while assigning meaningful probability to 11°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind timing and cloud cover that can suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. June climatology shows average highs near 13°C, and NIWA’s seasonal outlook indicated near-average conditions overall, though recent early-month warmth highlights potential for brief anomalies. Updated model runs and the next MetService briefing remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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