Recent forecasts for Shanghai on June 16 point to overnight lows centered near 22–23°C amid the ongoing Meiyu plum rain season, with persistent cloud cover and high humidity limiting radiative cooling and supporting the market’s heaviest trading around those levels. Numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show a relatively stable steering pattern with light winds and no strong cold advection expected, keeping minimum temperatures within the typical mid-June climatological range of 21–24°C. Key variables include evolving cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, and any late adjustments in subtropical high positioning that could alter the nocturnal temperature drop by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this short-range temperature market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 16 giugno?
23°C 32%
22°C 24%
24°C 19%
21°C 9%
18°C o inferiore
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
9%
22°C
24%
23°C
32%
24°C
19%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
23°C 32%
22°C 24%
24°C 19%
21°C 9%
18°C o inferiore
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
9%
22°C
24%
23°C
32%
24°C
19%
25°C
8%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai on June 16 point to overnight lows centered near 22–23°C amid the ongoing Meiyu plum rain season, with persistent cloud cover and high humidity limiting radiative cooling and supporting the market’s heaviest trading around those levels. Numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration show a relatively stable steering pattern with light winds and no strong cold advection expected, keeping minimum temperatures within the typical mid-June climatological range of 21–24°C. Key variables include evolving cloud thickness, boundary-layer moisture, and any late adjustments in subtropical high positioning that could alter the nocturnal temperature drop by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for this short-range temperature market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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