Latest India Meteorological Department short-range guidance and ensemble model runs point to peak daytime maxima of 38–39°C in Lucknow on June 16, driven by increasing low-level moisture ahead of the monsoon trough and scattered thundershower activity that limits insolation. Recent observations show surface temperatures near 42–44°C under clearer skies, but the expected arrival of a western disturbance remnant and strengthening southeasterlies are forecast to enhance cloud cover and raise relative humidity, capping extremes. Historical June climatology for the city centers near 39°C, yet interannual variability tied to monsoon onset timing keeps the distribution centered on these two bins; updated IMD bulletins and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 16?
38°C 37%
39°C 20%
37°C 15%
36°C 9.1%
35°C or below
1%
36°C
9%
37°C
15%
38°C
37%
39°C
27%
40°C
6%
41°C
4%
42°C
3%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 37%
39°C 20%
37°C 15%
36°C 9.1%
35°C or below
1%
36°C
9%
37°C
15%
38°C
37%
39°C
27%
40°C
6%
41°C
4%
42°C
3%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest India Meteorological Department short-range guidance and ensemble model runs point to peak daytime maxima of 38–39°C in Lucknow on June 16, driven by increasing low-level moisture ahead of the monsoon trough and scattered thundershower activity that limits insolation. Recent observations show surface temperatures near 42–44°C under clearer skies, but the expected arrival of a western disturbance remnant and strengthening southeasterlies are forecast to enhance cloud cover and raise relative humidity, capping extremes. Historical June climatology for the city centers near 39°C, yet interannual variability tied to monsoon onset timing keeps the distribution centered on these two bins; updated IMD bulletins and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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