Met Office guidance and supporting ensemble models currently indicate a maximum of around 25°C in London on June 16 under a stable high-pressure regime delivering sunny spells, light to moderate southerly breezes, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong daytime insolation. This setup favors modest warming above the seasonal 20–21°C baseline without the stronger advection or clear-sky radiative heating needed for 27°C-plus peaks. Subtle differences among 24–26°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of any afternoon cumulus development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor model spread in 10-meter wind speeds, with latest runs showing tight clustering around the 25°C mark and limited upside risk from residual warm plumes. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in London on June 16?
25°C 33%
26°C 28%
24°C 19%
23°C 5%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
19%
25°C
33%
26°C
28%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 33%
26°C 28%
24°C 19%
23°C 5%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
19%
25°C
33%
26°C
28%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office guidance and supporting ensemble models currently indicate a maximum of around 25°C in London on June 16 under a stable high-pressure regime delivering sunny spells, light to moderate southerly breezes, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong daytime insolation. This setup favors modest warming above the seasonal 20–21°C baseline without the stronger advection or clear-sky radiative heating needed for 27°C-plus peaks. Subtle differences among 24–26°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of any afternoon cumulus development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and minor model spread in 10-meter wind speeds, with latest runs showing tight clustering around the 25°C mark and limited upside risk from residual warm plumes. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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