Current forecast guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models points to a largely dry, settled regime over southern England on June 15, with high pressure supporting variable cloud and sunny intervals that favor maximum temperatures near 22–24 °C. The tight split between 22 °C and 23 °C market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can suppress peak insolation by 1–2 °C, alongside minor model differences in low-level wind direction and urban heat-island amplification around central London. Following May’s record warmth, June conditions have returned closer to climatological normals, limiting upside risk above 24 °C while keeping the distribution centered on these values ahead of final observational verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in London on June 15?
Highest temperature in London on June 15?
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
21°C 12%
24°C or higher 9.8%
NUOVO
$21,492 Vol.
NUOVO
$21,492 Vol.
15 giu 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
12%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C or higher
10%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
21°C 12%
24°C or higher 9.8%
NUOVO
$21,492 Vol.
NUOVO
$21,492 Vol.
15 giu 2026
14°C or below
$473 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$499 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$632 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,240 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,405 Vol.
1%
20°C
$3,361 Vol.
3%
21°C
$2,974 Vol.
12%
22°C
$2,710 Vol.
40%
23°C
$2,598 Vol.
40%
24°C or higher
$4,218 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models points to a largely dry, settled regime over southern England on June 15, with high pressure supporting variable cloud and sunny intervals that favor maximum temperatures near 22–24 °C. The tight split between 22 °C and 23 °C market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can suppress peak insolation by 1–2 °C, alongside minor model differences in low-level wind direction and urban heat-island amplification around central London. Following May’s record warmth, June conditions have returned closer to climatological normals, limiting upside risk above 24 °C while keeping the distribution centered on these values ahead of final observational verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$21,492Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models points to a largely dry, settled regime over southern England on June 15, with high pressure supporting variable cloud and sunny intervals that favor maximum temperatures near 22–24 °C. The tight split between 22 °C and 23 °C market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can suppress peak insolation by 1–2 °C, alongside minor model differences in low-level wind direction and urban heat-island amplification around central London. Following May’s record warmth, June conditions have returned closer to climatological normals, limiting upside risk above 24 °C while keeping the distribution centered on these values ahead of final observational verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,492Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from the Met Office and ensemble models points to a largely dry, settled regime over southern England on June 15, with high pressure supporting variable cloud and sunny intervals that favor maximum temperatures near 22–24 °C. The tight split between 22 °C and 23 °C market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can suppress peak insolation by 1–2 °C, alongside minor model differences in low-level wind direction and urban heat-island amplification around central London. Following May’s record warmth, June conditions have returned closer to climatological normals, limiting upside risk above 24 °C while keeping the distribution centered on these values ahead of final observational verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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