Recent ensemble forecasts from European models place Munich's June 14 maximum temperature near 22°C under sunny intervals and moderate westerly flow, explaining the near-even split between the 21°C and 22°C contracts. Diurnal heating will be modulated by partial cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with surface observations on June 13 showing temperatures already approaching seasonal norms around 23–25°C. Minor model spread arises from uncertainties in low-level moisture and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping the 23°C outcome viable but lower-probability. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF later today could narrow the range ahead of the observation window used for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco il 14 giugno?
22°C 37%
21°C 34%
23°C 17%
20°C 9%
$20,694 Vol.
$20,694 Vol.
16°C o inferiore
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
34%
22°C
37%
23°C
17%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C o superiore
<1%
22°C 37%
21°C 34%
23°C 17%
20°C 9%
$20,694 Vol.
$20,694 Vol.
16°C o inferiore
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
34%
22°C
37%
23°C
17%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European models place Munich's June 14 maximum temperature near 22°C under sunny intervals and moderate westerly flow, explaining the near-even split between the 21°C and 22°C contracts. Diurnal heating will be modulated by partial cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with surface observations on June 13 showing temperatures already approaching seasonal norms around 23–25°C. Minor model spread arises from uncertainties in low-level moisture and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping the 23°C outcome viable but lower-probability. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF later today could narrow the range ahead of the observation window used for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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