Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF models point to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C in central London on June 15, shaped by light southerly winds, limited cloud cover, and radiational cooling overnight under building high pressure. These conditions favor modest nocturnal temperature drops typical for mid-June climatology, with dew-point depressions and boundary-layer mixing keeping values above 10°C. Minor differences in model resolution of advection or urban heat-island effects create the near-even split between the two leading outcomes; any increase in low-level moisture or wind shear could push the official reading lower. Traders are watching the final 00Z and 06Z model runs for refinements ahead of the midnight-to-midnight observation window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 15 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 15 giugno?
13°C 37%
12°C 36%
11°C 13%
14°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
13%
12°C
36%
13°C
37%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 37%
12°C 36%
11°C 13%
14°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 giu 2026
8°C or below
$109 Vol.
1%
9°C
$37 Vol.
1%
10°C
$53 Vol.
1%
11°C
$75 Vol.
13%
12°C
$85 Vol.
36%
13°C
$103 Vol.
37%
14°C
$112 Vol.
5%
15°C
$233 Vol.
3%
16°C
$148 Vol.
1%
17°C
$147 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF models point to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C in central London on June 15, shaped by light southerly winds, limited cloud cover, and radiational cooling overnight under building high pressure. These conditions favor modest nocturnal temperature drops typical for mid-June climatology, with dew-point depressions and boundary-layer mixing keeping values above 10°C. Minor differences in model resolution of advection or urban heat-island effects create the near-even split between the two leading outcomes; any increase in low-level moisture or wind shear could push the official reading lower. Traders are watching the final 00Z and 06Z model runs for refinements ahead of the midnight-to-midnight observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Volume
$1,149Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF models point to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C in central London on June 15, shaped by light southerly winds, limited cloud cover, and radiational cooling overnight under building high pressure. These conditions favor modest nocturnal temperature drops typical for mid-June climatology, with dew-point depressions and boundary-layer mixing keeping values above 10°C. Minor differences in model resolution of advection or urban heat-island effects create the near-even split between the two leading outcomes; any increase in low-level moisture or wind shear could push the official reading lower. Traders are watching the final 00Z and 06Z model runs for refinements ahead of the midnight-to-midnight observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,149Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF models point to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C in central London on June 15, shaped by light southerly winds, limited cloud cover, and radiational cooling overnight under building high pressure. These conditions favor modest nocturnal temperature drops typical for mid-June climatology, with dew-point depressions and boundary-layer mixing keeping values above 10°C. Minor differences in model resolution of advection or urban heat-island effects create the near-even split between the two leading outcomes; any increase in low-level moisture or wind shear could push the official reading lower. Traders are watching the final 00Z and 06Z model runs for refinements ahead of the midnight-to-midnight observation window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti