Trader consensus has converged on an 88-89°F high in New York City on June 13 with near-certainty due to real-time National Weather Service observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures in the upper 80s under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. Surface analyses indicate a warm air mass with daytime heating supporting maxima near 88°F at LaGuardia, consistent with climatological patterns for mid-June and recent model runs showing minimal deviation. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than longer-range projections. A shift in wind patterns bringing cooler maritime air or localized convective cooling could push readings into the mid-80s, while measurement differences across official sites remain the main source of residual uncertainty on resolution day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in NYC on June 13?
88-89°F 99.9%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
81°F or below <1%
$90,897 Vol.
$90,897 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 99.9%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
81°F or below <1%
$90,897 Vol.
$90,897 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has converged on an 88-89°F high in New York City on June 13 with near-certainty due to real-time National Weather Service observations and model consensus showing peak temperatures in the upper 80s under partly cloudy skies and moderate humidity. Surface analyses indicate a warm air mass with daytime heating supporting maxima near 88°F at LaGuardia, consistent with climatological patterns for mid-June and recent model runs showing minimal deviation. This market-implied outcome reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than longer-range projections. A shift in wind patterns bringing cooler maritime air or localized convective cooling could push readings into the mid-80s, while measurement differences across official sites remain the main source of residual uncertainty on resolution day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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