Forecast models from NOAA and regional meteorological services indicate a moderate high around 83–84°F for New York City on June 14, driven by southerly flow with limited moisture and partial cloud cover that curbs full insolation. This aligns with climatological norms near 78°F while reflecting the current pattern of seasonal warming without strong high-pressure ridging. Trader consensus favoring the 88–89°F bin (39% implied probability) over lower ranges may stem from model spread in afternoon mixing and urban heat effects at the LaGuardia measurement site, alongside recent June warming trends that have occasionally exceeded guidance. Upcoming afternoon observations and any late-day convective development will provide the final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 14 giugno?
88-89°F 40%
90-91°F 25%
86-87°F 21%
92-93°F 6.2%
$10,796 Vol.
$10,796 Vol.
83°F o inferiore
2%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
40%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F o superiore
<1%
88-89°F 40%
90-91°F 25%
86-87°F 21%
92-93°F 6.2%
$10,796 Vol.
$10,796 Vol.
83°F o inferiore
2%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
40%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and regional meteorological services indicate a moderate high around 83–84°F for New York City on June 14, driven by southerly flow with limited moisture and partial cloud cover that curbs full insolation. This aligns with climatological norms near 78°F while reflecting the current pattern of seasonal warming without strong high-pressure ridging. Trader consensus favoring the 88–89°F bin (39% implied probability) over lower ranges may stem from model spread in afternoon mixing and urban heat effects at the LaGuardia measurement site, alongside recent June warming trends that have occasionally exceeded guidance. Upcoming afternoon observations and any late-day convective development will provide the final resolution data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti