**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 15 maximum temperature reflects a tight cluster of forecasts centered on 17–19 °C.** Official guidance from the Met Office, BBC Weather, and timeanddate.com points to a daytime high near 17–18 °C under overcast skies with light rain or drizzle, consistent with a recent cold-front passage that advected cooler maritime air southward. June climatology for the city (average high ~21–22 °C) is being suppressed by persistent cloud cover that limits daytime insolation, combined with light southeasterly winds and modest urban heat-island moderation at ~760 m elevation. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and the exact timing of frontal clearing; a slightly stronger or more persistent marine layer favors the 17 °C outcome, while any earlier break in cloud cover could push readings toward 19 °C. With no extreme anomalies expected, the market’s near-even split between the top three bins captures this narrow but genuine forecast uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 15 giugno?
18°C 37%
17°C 34%
19°C 19%
16°C 6.0%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
6%
17°C
34%
18°C
37%
19°C
19%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 37%
17°C 34%
19°C 19%
16°C 6.0%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
6%
17°C
34%
18°C
37%
19°C
19%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s June 15 maximum temperature reflects a tight cluster of forecasts centered on 17–19 °C.** Official guidance from the Met Office, BBC Weather, and timeanddate.com points to a daytime high near 17–18 °C under overcast skies with light rain or drizzle, consistent with a recent cold-front passage that advected cooler maritime air southward. June climatology for the city (average high ~21–22 °C) is being suppressed by persistent cloud cover that limits daytime insolation, combined with light southeasterly winds and modest urban heat-island moderation at ~760 m elevation. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and the exact timing of frontal clearing; a slightly stronger or more persistent marine layer favors the 17 °C outcome, while any earlier break in cloud cover could push readings toward 19 °C. With no extreme anomalies expected, the market’s near-even split between the top three bins captures this narrow but genuine forecast uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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