Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Seoul maximum near 28–30°C on June 15, with modest daytime warming from current conditions tempered by possible afternoon cloud cover or light showers. These factors create tight clustering around 28°C and 29°C because peak temperatures hinge on solar heating duration, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day convection that caps extremes before official observations close. Climatological baselines for mid-June place typical highs in this range, while forecast uncertainty stems from subtle differences in steering patterns and insolation under partly cloudy skies, keeping lower and higher outcomes at minimal market-implied odds. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Seoul on June 15?
29°C 40%
28°C 31%
30°C 19%
27°C 9%
$43,123 Vol.
$43,123 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
9%
28°C
31%
29°C
40%
30°C
19%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 40%
28°C 31%
30°C 19%
27°C 9%
$43,123 Vol.
$43,123 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
9%
28°C
31%
29°C
40%
30°C
19%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Seoul maximum near 28–30°C on June 15, with modest daytime warming from current conditions tempered by possible afternoon cloud cover or light showers. These factors create tight clustering around 28°C and 29°C because peak temperatures hinge on solar heating duration, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day convection that caps extremes before official observations close. Climatological baselines for mid-June place typical highs in this range, while forecast uncertainty stems from subtle differences in steering patterns and insolation under partly cloudy skies, keeping lower and higher outcomes at minimal market-implied odds. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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