Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts, including ECMWF and UKV model runs, indicate overnight minima near 15–16°C for London on June 16, positioning those outcomes as trader favorites amid 38.5% and 21.0% implied probabilities. This aligns with climatological June averages of 12–14°C lows after May’s exceptional warmth, with high pressure promoting clearer skies and moderate radiational cooling rather than extreme drops. Key variables include cloud cover and wind patterns that could nudge readings slightly lower toward 14°C. Updated model cycles and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these near-term probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 16 giugno?
15°C 39%
14°C 29%
16°C 22%
13°C 16%
11°C o inferiore
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
11%
14°C
29%
15°C
39%
16°C
22%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 39%
14°C 29%
16°C 22%
13°C 16%
11°C o inferiore
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
11%
14°C
29%
15°C
39%
16°C
22%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts, including ECMWF and UKV model runs, indicate overnight minima near 15–16°C for London on June 16, positioning those outcomes as trader favorites amid 38.5% and 21.0% implied probabilities. This aligns with climatological June averages of 12–14°C lows after May’s exceptional warmth, with high pressure promoting clearer skies and moderate radiational cooling rather than extreme drops. Key variables include cloud cover and wind patterns that could nudge readings slightly lower toward 14°C. Updated model cycles and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these near-term probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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