Recent Met Office and model consensus point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies positioning London’s minimum near 13 °C for 14 June, consistent with the 67.5 % market-implied probability. After an unusually warm late-May period, Atlantic flow has restored near-climatological June conditions, with forecast lows clustered between 12–13 °C and limited model spread. Surface observations early on the 14th already registering 16 °C and light northerly winds further support modest nocturnal drops rather than deeper cooling. Traders therefore assign only secondary weight to 12 °C (23 %) or 11 °C (11 %), reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture before official Met Office verification closes the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 14 giugno?
13°C 68%
12°C 24%
11°C 10%
10°C 3.0%
7°C o meno
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
10%
12°C
23%
13°C
68%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C o superiore
<1%
13°C 68%
12°C 24%
11°C 10%
10°C 3.0%
7°C o meno
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
10%
12°C
23%
13°C
68%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and model consensus point to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies positioning London’s minimum near 13 °C for 14 June, consistent with the 67.5 % market-implied probability. After an unusually warm late-May period, Atlantic flow has restored near-climatological June conditions, with forecast lows clustered between 12–13 °C and limited model spread. Surface observations early on the 14th already registering 16 °C and light northerly winds further support modest nocturnal drops rather than deeper cooling. Traders therefore assign only secondary weight to 12 °C (23 %) or 11 °C (11 %), reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture before official Met Office verification closes the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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