Meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies tracking southern China indicate Shenzhen's daily maximum temperature reached 31°C on June 14, underpinning the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome. Regional conditions, including persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and typical early-summer humidity levels, have produced stable daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate peaks. Historical June baselines for the Pearl River Delta average 30–32°C, aligning with current readings and reducing variance. Minor adjustments in official station data or microclimate effects near urban heat islands could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though forecast convergence and real-time monitoring make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 14 giugno?
La temperatura più alta a Shenzhen il 14 giugno?
31°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
24°C o inferiore <1%
25°C <1%
$101,986 Vol.
$101,986 Vol.
14 giu 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
24°C o inferiore <1%
25°C <1%
$101,986 Vol.
$101,986 Vol.
14 giu 2026
24°C o inferiore
$440 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,414 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,446 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$16,573 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12,659 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$14,214 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,197 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,324 Vol.
100%
32°C
$7,566 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,414 Vol.
<1%
34°C o superiore
$6,745 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies tracking southern China indicate Shenzhen's daily maximum temperature reached 31°C on June 14, underpinning the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome. Regional conditions, including persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and typical early-summer humidity levels, have produced stable daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate peaks. Historical June baselines for the Pearl River Delta average 30–32°C, aligning with current readings and reducing variance. Minor adjustments in official station data or microclimate effects near urban heat islands could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though forecast convergence and real-time monitoring make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$101,986Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies tracking southern China indicate Shenzhen's daily maximum temperature reached 31°C on June 14, underpinning the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome. Regional conditions, including persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and typical early-summer humidity levels, have produced stable daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate peaks. Historical June baselines for the Pearl River Delta average 30–32°C, aligning with current readings and reducing variance. Minor adjustments in official station data or microclimate effects near urban heat islands could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though forecast convergence and real-time monitoring make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$101,986Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies tracking southern China indicate Shenzhen's daily maximum temperature reached 31°C on June 14, underpinning the market's 99.9% implied probability for that exact outcome. Regional conditions, including persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and typical early-summer humidity levels, have produced stable daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate peaks. Historical June baselines for the Pearl River Delta average 30–32°C, aligning with current readings and reducing variance. Minor adjustments in official station data or microclimate effects near urban heat islands could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though forecast convergence and real-time monitoring make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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